Large-scale drivers of compounding hot and dry events in three breadbasket regions

Abstract. Compound hot and dry events cause damage to ecosystems and society. While these events have been widely studied individually, their co-ocurrence and the associated large-scale atmospheric drivers remain less understood. Here, we use reanalysis products and observational data to identify compound hot and dry events in the historical period from 1960 to 2020. We analyze the large-scale circulation patterns associated with compound occurrence of hot and dry events when they affect large portions of three breadbasket regions in the Northern Hemisphere, namely North America, Europe and the Mediterranean and eastern Asia. We find that compound hot and dry events recur throughout the historical period and are consistently linked to Rossby wave patterns and mid-tropospheric anticyclonic ridging, which trigger land-atmosphere feedbacks resulting in the reinforcement of the events. Our study highlights that the spatial extent of compound hot and dry events offers a metric for assessing regional impacts.

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Publication Details

Journal
Weather and Climate Dynamics
Published
2026-10-30
DOI
https://doi.org/10.5194/wcd-7-2107-2026
Primary Topic
Climate variability and models
Type
article
Field-Weighted Citation Impact
0.00

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Large-scale drivers of compounding hot and dry events in three breadbasket regions

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2 links
Weather and Climate Dynamics
Climate variability and models
article

Large-scale drivers of compounding hot and dry events in three breadbasket regions

Jana Sillmann, Mario Lloyd Virgilio Martina, Lukas Brunner, Leonard Borchert, Benjamin Poschlod, Marco Gaetani, Natalia Castillo
article en

Abstract

Abstract. Compound hot and dry events cause damage to ecosystems and society. While these events have been widely studied individually, their co-ocurrence and the associated large-scale atmospheric drivers remain less understood. Here, we use reanalysis products and observational data to identify compound hot and dry events in the historical period from 1960 to 2020. We analyze the large-scale circulation patterns associated with compound occurrence of hot and dry events when they affect large portions of three breadbasket regions in the Northern Hemisphere, namely North America, Europe and the Mediterranean and eastern Asia. We find that compound hot and dry events recur throughout the historical period and are consistently linked to Rossby wave patterns and mid-tropospheric anticyclonic ridging, which trigger land-atmosphere feedbacks resulting in the reinforcement of the events. Our study highlights that the spatial extent of compound hot and dry events offers a metric for assessing regional impacts.

Weather and Climate DynamicsVol. 7(4)
Universität Hamburg (DE), Istituto Universitario di Studi Superiori di Pavia (IT)
European Commission, Deutsche Forschungsgemeinschaft, Ministero dell’Istruzione, dell’Università e della Ricerca, Agenzia Spaziale Italiana, Universität Hamburg, National Outstanding Youth Science Fund Project of National Natural Science Foundation of China
Climate action
Openalex Percentile: Top 99%
Climate variability and models
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