Optimal Passive Interventions for Enhancing Resilience of Naturally Ventilated Residential Buildings in Future Climatic Extremes

This study investigates the thermal resilience of naturally ventilated Lebanese residential buildings in the context of future climates, based on four climate zones: coastal (moderate and humid), low mountain (cool and seasonally variable), inland plateau (semi-arid with high summer heat), and high mountain (cold, with significant winter conditions). The aim of the study is to evaluate how passive envelope interventions can enhance indoor thermal resilience under five present and future work scenarios: TMY, SSP1-2.6 (2050 and 2080), and SSP5-8.5 (2050 and 2080). A baseline model was developed for typical building stock in each climate using EnergyPlus-23.2.0. The passive design parameters of window type, shading depth, and building orientation were systematically altered to analyze their effect on thermal comfort and building thermal resilience. Unlike previous studies that assessed either individual passive strategies or a single climate condition, this research combines multi-objective optimizations with overheating resilience metrics, by optimizing passive interventions using the GenOpt-3.1.0 and BESOS (Python-3.7.3 packages to minimize indoor overheating degree (IOD) and maximize climate change overheating resistivity (CCOR) index. Our findings indicate that optimized passive interventions, such as deep shading (0.6–1.0 m), low-e or bronze glazing, and southern orientations, can reduce overheating in all climate zones, reflecting a substantial improvement in thermal resilience. The novelty of this work lies in combining passive envelope optimization with future climate situations and a long-term overheating resilience index (CCOR) in the Mediterranean region. The results provide actionable suggestions for enhancing buildings’ resilience to climate change in Lebanon, thus informing sustainable design practice within the Eastern Mediterranean climate.