Estimating the Cost of Time in Justifying Transport Projects

The article is devoted to the study of the cost of travel time in the context of the formation of transport policy in Russia in terms of passenger transportation. Various approaches to assessing the value of time are considered. The calculations use the generally accepted approach in international practice, based on “willingness to pay.” To obtain the estimates, the results of sociological surveys conducted in four Russian cities (Barnaul, Kostroma, Cheboksary, Yuzhno-Sakhalinsk) in 2019–2023 with the participation of 2000 respondents were used. Based on the results of calculations using multinomial regression, the average cost of travel time was estimated at 10.76 rubles per minute. The article also examines the influence of various factors (gender, age, income, and type of activity) on the sensitivity of respondents’ behavior to changes in the duration and cost of a trip. Diminishing returns to travel time savings have been identified. The data obtained can be used to justify investments in transport projects and develop transport policies that take into account the differences in preferences of different population groups.

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Publication Details

Journal
Studies on Russian Economic Development
Published
2025-11-07
DOI
https://doi.org/10.1134/s1075700725700583
Primary Topic
Transportation Systems and Logistics
Type
article
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article

Estimating the Cost of Time in Justifying Transport Projects

A. G. Mirzoyan, P. A. Lavrinenko
Studies on Russian Economic Development
Transportation Systems and Logistics
article

Estimating the Cost of Time in Justifying Transport Projects

A. G. Mirzoyan, P. A. Lavrinenko
article en

Abstract

The article is devoted to the study of the cost of travel time in the context of the formation of transport policy in Russia in terms of passenger transportation. Various approaches to assessing the value of time are considered. The calculations use the generally accepted approach in international practice, based on “willingness to pay.” To obtain the estimates, the results of sociological surveys conducted in four Russian cities (Barnaul, Kostroma, Cheboksary, Yuzhno-Sakhalinsk) in 2019–2023 with the participation of 2000 respondents were used. Based on the results of calculations using multinomial regression, the average cost of travel time was estimated at 10.76 rubles per minute. The article also examines the influence of various factors (gender, age, income, and type of activity) on the sensitivity of respondents’ behavior to changes in the duration and cost of a trip. Diminishing returns to travel time savings have been identified. The data obtained can be used to justify investments in transport projects and develop transport policies that take into account the differences in preferences of different population groups.

Studies on Russian Economic DevelopmentVol. 36(6)
Lomonosov Moscow State University (RU), Institute of Economic Forecasting (RU)
Openalex Percentile: Top 65%
Transportation Systems and Logistics
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Estimating the Cost of Time in Justifying Transport Projects — A. G. Mirzoyan, P. A. Lavrinenko · Studies on Russian Economic Development (2025) | TGRS Research Map | TGRS