Enhancing green hydrogen forecasting with a spatio-temporal graph convolutional network optimized by the Ninja algorithm

In light of increased international efforts to combat climate change, sustainable infrastructure is shifting toward green hydrogen produced through renewable-powered electrolysis. Still, it is challenging to forecast the production of green hydrogen because environmental and system factors are variable both in time and space. We introduce a new system that utilizes a Spatio-Temporal Graph Convolutional Network (STGCN) and a novel algorithm, the Ninja Optimization Algorithm (NiOA), to address this issue. Using the framework, binary NiOA performs feature selection, while continuous NiOA optimizes both the model architecture and the number of variables in the data simultaneously. It is clear from the research that forecasting results have shown significant improvement. The STGCN model achieved an R<sup>2</sup> of 0.8769 and an MSE of 0.00375, whereas the STGCN with NiOA reached an R<sup>2</sup> of 0.9815 and an MSE of only [Formula: see text]. Due to these improvements, adaptive metaheuristics show even greater promise in delivering more accurate forecasting and reduced computational requirements for addressing critical environmental issues. The suggested strategy can be followed repeatedly, providing a solid framework for the effective modeling of renewable energy systems and making green hydrogen projects more dependable.

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Publication Details

Journal
Scientific Reports
Published
2025-11-07
DOI
https://doi.org/10.1038/s41598-025-23084-x
Citations
1
Primary Topic
Energy Load and Power Forecasting
Type
article
Field-Weighted Citation Impact
0.73

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article

Enhancing green hydrogen forecasting with a spatio-temporal graph convolutional network optimized by the Ninja algorithm

Mohamed S. Abdelfattah, Hesham Mostafa, Amel Ali Alhussan, El‐Sayed M. El‐kenawy et al.
1 citations
Scientific Reports
Energy Load and Power Forecasting
0.73
article

Enhancing green hydrogen forecasting with a spatio-temporal graph convolutional network optimized by the Ninja algorithm

Mohamed S. Abdelfattah, Hesham Mostafa, Amel Ali Alhussan, El‐Sayed M. El‐kenawy, Islam Ismael, Mona Ahmed Yassen
article en
1 citations

Abstract

In light of increased international efforts to combat climate change, sustainable infrastructure is shifting toward green hydrogen produced through renewable-powered electrolysis. Still, it is challenging to forecast the production of green hydrogen because environmental and system factors are variable both in time and space. We introduce a new system that utilizes a Spatio-Temporal Graph Convolutional Network (STGCN) and a novel algorithm, the Ninja Optimization Algorithm (NiOA), to address this issue. Using the framework, binary NiOA performs feature selection, while continuous NiOA optimizes both the model architecture and the number of variables in the data simultaneously. It is clear from the research that forecasting results have shown significant improvement. The STGCN model achieved an R<sup>2</sup> of 0.8769 and an MSE of 0.00375, whereas the STGCN with NiOA reached an R<sup>2</sup> of 0.9815 and an MSE of only [Formula: see text]. Due to these improvements, adaptive metaheuristics show even greater promise in delivering more accurate forecasting and reduced computational requirements for addressing critical environmental issues. The suggested strategy can be followed repeatedly, providing a solid framework for the effective modeling of renewable energy systems and making green hydrogen projects more dependable.

Scientific ReportsVol. 15(1)
Princess Nourah bint Abdulrahman University (SA), Damietta University (EG), Applied Science Private University (JO), Mansoura University (EG), Jadara University (JO), Higher Institute of Engineering (EG)
Princess Nourah Bint Abdulrahman University
Openalex Percentile: Top 22%
Energy Load and Power Forecasting
0.73
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