Parameter Estimation of Weibull Distribution Using Constrained Search Space: An Application to Elevator Maintenance

The Weibull distribution is widely used in reliability estimation across industries, but accurately identifying its parameters remains a challenging task. This research proposes an efficient method for estimating Weibull distribution parameters by combining the maximum likelihood method with optimization theory. First, the parameter estimation problem is formulated as an optimization problem. A constrained search space partitioning framework is introduced, leveraging parameter-specific minimum and maximum bounds for the shape, location, and scale parameters. By dividing the search space into smaller subspaces for each parameter, the method constrains the search direction, significantly reducing estimation time. To address the local optima problem common in heuristic algorithms, a randomness operator is integrated into the optimization process. The proposed constrained search space partitioning framework is implemented using a conventional g-best version of the particle swarm optimization algorithm with historical fault data. Experimental results demonstrate that the proposed scheme outperforms state-of-the-art methods and conventional optimization-based approaches in terms of estimation accuracy and computational efficiency.