Dengue forecasting and outbreak detection in Brazil using LSTM: integrating human mobility and climate factors

By incorporating human mobility dynamics into deep learning-based forecasting, this study presents a scalable and adaptable framework for enhancing dengue early warning systems. The proposed model provides more accurate case predictions and outbreak classifications, offering actionable insights for public health planning and resource allocation. Beyond dengue, this approach can be extended to other vector-borne diseases influenced by mobility and climate factors, supporting more effective epidemic preparedness strategies worldwide.

Authors

Institutions

Publication Details

Journal
Infectious Disease Modelling
Published
2025-11-06
DOI
https://doi.org/10.1016/j.idm.2025.11.002
Primary Topic
Mosquito-borne diseases and control
Type
article
Field-Weighted Citation Impact
0.00
Controls
|||
ALL TIME
JAN
FEB
MAR
APR
MAY
JUN
JUL
AUG
SEP
OCT
article

Dengue forecasting and outbreak detection in Brazil using LSTM: integrating human mobility and climate factors

Paula Moraga, Xiang Chen
Infectious Disease Modelling
Mosquito-borne diseases and control
article

Dengue forecasting and outbreak detection in Brazil using LSTM: integrating human mobility and climate factors

Paula Moraga, Xiang Chen
article en

Abstract

By incorporating human mobility dynamics into deep learning-based forecasting, this study presents a scalable and adaptable framework for enhancing dengue early warning systems. The proposed model provides more accurate case predictions and outbreak classifications, offering actionable insights for public health planning and resource allocation. Beyond dengue, this approach can be extended to other vector-borne diseases influenced by mobility and climate factors, supporting more effective epidemic preparedness strategies worldwide.

Infectious Disease ModellingVol. 11(1)
King Abdullah University of Science and Technology (SA)
Openalex Percentile: Top 57%
Mosquito-borne diseases and control
AI Navigator

Ask Laika to Summarize, Analyze, and Connect papers live on the map.

Summarize Papers & Methodologies

Extract key findings, datasets, and comparative methods across publications.

Benchmark Rankings & Visual Analytics

Rank top research institutions, authors, funders, topics, and journals by Field-Weighted Citation Impact (FWCI) and paper volume with instant charts.

Connect Distant Disciplines

Bridge topological clusters on the map to find hidden collaborative intersections.