Review of Data-Driven Approaches Applied to Time-Series Solar Irradiance Forecasting for Future Energy Networks

The fast-increasing penetration of photovoltaic (PV) power raises the issue of grid stability due to its intermittency and lack of inertia in power systems. Solar irradiance forecasting effectively supports advanced control, mitigates power intermittency, and improves grid resilience. Irradiance forecasting based on data-driven methods aims to predict the direction and level of power variation and indicate quick action. This article presents a comprehensive review and comparative analysis of data-driven approaches for time-series solar irradiance forecasting. It systematically evaluates nineteen representative models spanning from traditional statistical methods to state-of-the-art deep learning architectures across multiple performance dimensions that are critical for practical deployment. The analysis aims to provide actionable insights for researchers and practitioners when selecting and implementing suitable forecasting solutions for diverse solar energy applications.

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Publication Details

Journal
Energies
Published
2025-11-04
DOI
https://doi.org/10.3390/en18215823
Citations
1
Primary Topic
Solar Radiation and Photovoltaics
Type
article
Field-Weighted Citation Impact
2.48
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article

Review of Data-Driven Approaches Applied to Time-Series Solar Irradiance Forecasting for Future Energy Networks

Xuan Jiao, Weidong Xiao
1 citations
Energies
Solar Radiation and Photovoltaics
2.48
article

Review of Data-Driven Approaches Applied to Time-Series Solar Irradiance Forecasting for Future Energy Networks

Xuan Jiao, Weidong Xiao
article en
1 citations

Abstract

The fast-increasing penetration of photovoltaic (PV) power raises the issue of grid stability due to its intermittency and lack of inertia in power systems. Solar irradiance forecasting effectively supports advanced control, mitigates power intermittency, and improves grid resilience. Irradiance forecasting based on data-driven methods aims to predict the direction and level of power variation and indicate quick action. This article presents a comprehensive review and comparative analysis of data-driven approaches for time-series solar irradiance forecasting. It systematically evaluates nineteen representative models spanning from traditional statistical methods to state-of-the-art deep learning architectures across multiple performance dimensions that are critical for practical deployment. The analysis aims to provide actionable insights for researchers and practitioners when selecting and implementing suitable forecasting solutions for diverse solar energy applications.

EnergiesVol. 18(21)
The University of Sydney (AU)
Openalex Percentile: Top 8%
Solar Radiation and Photovoltaics
2.48
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Review of Data-Driven Approaches Applied to Time-Series Solar Irradiance Forecasting for Future Energy Networks — Xuan Jiao, Weidong Xiao · Energies (2025) | TGRS Research Map | TGRS