Integrating Panic Behavior into Agent-Based Subway Evacuation Simulations

Subway systems are highly vulnerable to disasters because of their confined underground structures and limited evacuation routes, making accurate evacuation analysis essential for reducing casualties. Most existing studies overlook panic behavior, leading to unrealistic assessments of evacuation efficiency. This study develops a modeling framework that integrates panic behavior into agent-based subway evacuation simulations. The framework incorporates three behavioral factors: reaction delays to emergency cues, hesitation at decision points, and irrational route choices. Simulation experiments were conducted under different occupancy conditions, and results from panic-integrated and non-panic scenarios were compared. Findings show that the inclusion of panic significantly prolongs evacuation time, with delays of up to 30% in full-scale scenarios due to congestion and route errors. These outcomes demonstrate that panic behavior exerts a decisive influence on evacuation dynamics and should not be neglected in simulation studies. Incorporating panic into evacuation modeling provides a more realistic basis for designing safer subway systems and developing effective emergency response strategies.