Climate change risks to future sustainable fishing using global seafood ecolabel data

<h2>Summary</h2> Marine fisheries are an important source of food and livelihoods globally. However, climate-induced changes in marine ecosystems are affecting fish populations and sustainable fishing opportunities. By combining datasets on climate-driven changes in population distribution and biomass with Marine Stewardship Council (MSC) seafood ecolabel program data, we conduct a large-scale risk analysis of fisheries under a high-emissions scenario by mid-century. Results show that fisheries targeting tuna and billfish face the highest relative risks of management disruption, due to high exposure to stock shifts and higher governance vulnerabilities, followed by small pelagic and demersal fisheries. We analyze a subset of global fisheries with high management performance (MSC-certified), suggesting risk may be higher among non-MSC-certified fisheries. These findings provide key insights into governance priorities across diverse fisheries under climate change. They underscore the need for international cooperation, regular management reviews, and effective monitoring to be prepared for climate impacts on marine resources.

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Publication Details

Journal
Cell Reports Sustainability
Published
2025-11-05
DOI
https://doi.org/10.1016/j.crsus.2025.100555
Primary Topic
Marine and fisheries research
Type
article
Field-Weighted Citation Impact
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article

Climate change risks to future sustainable fishing using global seafood ecolabel data

Jason D. Everett, Camilla Novaglio, Juliano Palacios‐Abrantes, Ryan Heneghan et al.
Cell Reports Sustainability
Marine and fisheries research
article

Climate change risks to future sustainable fishing using global seafood ecolabel data

Jason D. Everett, Camilla Novaglio, Juliano Palacios‐Abrantes, Ryan Heneghan, Beth Polidoro, Catherine Longo, Julia L. Blanchard, Jérôme Guiet, Lauren M. Koerner, Timothy E. Essington, Michael C. Melnychuk, Ernesto Jardim, Cheryl S. Harrison, Rohan J. C. Currey
article en

Abstract

<h2>Summary</h2> Marine fisheries are an important source of food and livelihoods globally. However, climate-induced changes in marine ecosystems are affecting fish populations and sustainable fishing opportunities. By combining datasets on climate-driven changes in population distribution and biomass with Marine Stewardship Council (MSC) seafood ecolabel program data, we conduct a large-scale risk analysis of fisheries under a high-emissions scenario by mid-century. Results show that fisheries targeting tuna and billfish face the highest relative risks of management disruption, due to high exposure to stock shifts and higher governance vulnerabilities, followed by small pelagic and demersal fisheries. We analyze a subset of global fisheries with high management performance (MSC-certified), suggesting risk may be higher among non-MSC-certified fisheries. These findings provide key insights into governance priorities across diverse fisheries under climate change. They underscore the need for international cooperation, regular management reviews, and effective monitoring to be prepared for climate impacts on marine resources.

Cell Reports SustainabilityVol. 3(1)
Griffith University (AU), Louisiana State University (US), Commonwealth Scientific and Industrial Research Organisation (AU), University of Tasmania (AU), Fisheries and Oceans Canada (CA), University of British Columbia (CA), University of California, Los Angeles (US), The University of Queensland (AU), Marine Stewardship Council (GB), University of Washington (US), University of Exeter (GB), UNSW Sydney (AU), Arizona State University (US), Liverpool John Moores University (GB)
Openalex Percentile: Top 70%
Marine and fisheries research
DOIOpen Access PDFOpenAlex
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