Combining demographic shifts with age-based resistance prevalence to estimate future antimicrobial resistance burden in Europe and implications for targets: A modelling study
Including country-specific, age- and sex-specific resistance levels alongside projected demographic shifts has a large impact on resistant BSI burden projections in Europe to 2030. Reducing this AMR infection burden by 10% will require substantial reductions in infection incidence rates.
Authors
- Naomi R. Waterlow (ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-9210-9657)
- Julie V. Robotham (ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-2515-4084)
- Benn K. D. Sartorius (ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-6761-2325)
- Clare Chandler (ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-6499-7522)
- Catrin E. Moore (ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-8639-9846)
- Mike Sharland (ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-8626-8291)
- Ben S. Cooper (ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-9445-7217)
- Gwenan M. Knight (ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-7263-9896)
Institutions
- Department of Health and Social Care (GB)
- The University of Queensland (AU)
- St George's, University of London (GB)
- University of Oxford (GB)
- London School of Hygiene & Tropical Medicine (GB)
- Health Protection Agency (MV)
- Faculty of Public Health (GB)
- Institute of Infection and Immunity (CA)
Publication Details
- Journal
- PLoS Medicine
- Published
- 2025-11-04
- DOI
- https://doi.org/10.1371/journal.pmed.1004579
- Primary Topic
- Antibiotic Use and Resistance
- Type
- article
- Field-Weighted Citation Impact
- 0.00