Accurate AQI forecasting in a high-altitude city using a simulated CVOCA-BiLSTM hybrid model: a case study of Lhasa, Tibet

Forecasting of the Air Quality Index (AQI) in high-altitude cities is significantly challenged by nonlinear temporal dynamics, particularly due to complex interactions between atmospheric physics and pollutant transport. A hybrid forecasting model integrating a simulated Complex-Valued Optical Convolution Accelerator (CVOCA) with a Bidirectional Long Short-Term Memory (BiLSTM) network is presented to improve prediction accuracy and computational efficiency. The simulated CVOCA module enables high-speed, complex-valued convolution to extract amplitude and phase features from high-dimensional AQI sequences, while the BiLSTM component captures bidirectional temporal dependencies. Performance was evaluated using daily AQI data from Lhasa (2014-2024, 4018 samples). The hybrid model achieved RMSE = 1.60, MAE = 0.93, MAPE = 1.60%, R = 0.997, and R<sup>2</sup> = 0.996, outperforming standalone LSTM and BiLSTM models. The proposed model captures complex AQI dynamics in plateau environments and provides a scalable solution for real-time forecasting and environmental decision support.

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Publication Details

Journal
Scientific Reports
Published
2025-11-04
DOI
https://doi.org/10.1038/s41598-025-22474-5
Primary Topic
Air Quality Monitoring and Forecasting
Type
article
Field-Weighted Citation Impact
0.00

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article

Accurate AQI forecasting in a high-altitude city using a simulated CVOCA-BiLSTM hybrid model: a case study of Lhasa, Tibet

Qiangying Zhang, Duo Bu, Fangjing Xiao, Xiaomei Cui et al.
Scientific Reports
Air Quality Monitoring and Forecasting
article

Accurate AQI forecasting in a high-altitude city using a simulated CVOCA-BiLSTM hybrid model: a case study of Lhasa, Tibet

Qiangying Zhang, Duo Bu, Fangjing Xiao, Xiaomei Cui, Guibin Jiang
article en

Abstract

Forecasting of the Air Quality Index (AQI) in high-altitude cities is significantly challenged by nonlinear temporal dynamics, particularly due to complex interactions between atmospheric physics and pollutant transport. A hybrid forecasting model integrating a simulated Complex-Valued Optical Convolution Accelerator (CVOCA) with a Bidirectional Long Short-Term Memory (BiLSTM) network is presented to improve prediction accuracy and computational efficiency. The simulated CVOCA module enables high-speed, complex-valued convolution to extract amplitude and phase features from high-dimensional AQI sequences, while the BiLSTM component captures bidirectional temporal dependencies. Performance was evaluated using daily AQI data from Lhasa (2014-2024, 4018 samples). The hybrid model achieved RMSE = 1.60, MAE = 0.93, MAPE = 1.60%, R = 0.997, and R<sup>2</sup> = 0.996, outperforming standalone LSTM and BiLSTM models. The proposed model captures complex AQI dynamics in plateau environments and provides a scalable solution for real-time forecasting and environmental decision support.

Scientific ReportsVol. 15(1)
Tibet University (CN), Chinese Academy of Sciences (CN), Ministry of Ecology and Environment (CN), Research Center for Eco-Environmental Sciences (CN)
National Natural Science Foundation of China
Openalex Percentile: Top 70%
Air Quality Monitoring and Forecasting
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Accurate AQI forecasting in a high-altitude city using a simulated CVOCA-BiLSTM hybrid model: a case study of Lhasa, Tibet — Qiangying Zhang, Duo Bu, et al. · Scientific Reports (2025) | TGRS Research Map | TGRS