Accurate AQI forecasting in a high-altitude city using a simulated CVOCA-BiLSTM hybrid model: a case study of Lhasa, Tibet
Forecasting of the Air Quality Index (AQI) in high-altitude cities is significantly challenged by nonlinear temporal dynamics, particularly due to complex interactions between atmospheric physics and pollutant transport. A hybrid forecasting model integrating a simulated Complex-Valued Optical Convolution Accelerator (CVOCA) with a Bidirectional Long Short-Term Memory (BiLSTM) network is presented to improve prediction accuracy and computational efficiency. The simulated CVOCA module enables high-speed, complex-valued convolution to extract amplitude and phase features from high-dimensional AQI sequences, while the BiLSTM component captures bidirectional temporal dependencies. Performance was evaluated using daily AQI data from Lhasa (2014-2024, 4018 samples). The hybrid model achieved RMSE = 1.60, MAE = 0.93, MAPE = 1.60%, R = 0.997, and R<sup>2</sup> = 0.996, outperforming standalone LSTM and BiLSTM models. The proposed model captures complex AQI dynamics in plateau environments and provides a scalable solution for real-time forecasting and environmental decision support.
Authors
- Qiangying Zhang
- Duo Bu (ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-8755-9672)
- Fangjing Xiao (ORCID: https://orcid.org/0009-0006-3947-4248)
- Xiaomei Cui (ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-7450-2669)
- Guibin Jiang (ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-6335-3917)
Institutions
- Tibet University (CN)
- Chinese Academy of Sciences (CN)
- Ministry of Ecology and Environment (CN)
- Research Center for Eco-Environmental Sciences (CN)
Publication Details
- Journal
- Scientific Reports
- Published
- 2025-11-04
- DOI
- https://doi.org/10.1038/s41598-025-22474-5
- Primary Topic
- Air Quality Monitoring and Forecasting
- Type
- article
- Field-Weighted Citation Impact
- 0.00
Funders
- National Natural Science Foundation of China