PropNet-R: A Custom CNN Architecture for Quantitative Estimation of Propane Gas Concentration Based on Thermal Images for Sustainable Safety Monitoring

Liquefied petroleum gas (LPG), composed mainly of propane and butane, is widely used as an energy source in residential, commercial, and industrial sectors; however, its high flammability poses a critical risk in the event of accidental leaks. In Peru, where LPG constitutes the main domestic energy source, leakage emergencies affect thousands of households each year. This pattern is replicated in developing countries with limited energy infrastructure. Early quantitative detection of propane, the predominant component of Peruvian LPG (~60%), is essential to prevent explosions, poisoning, and greenhouse gas emissions that hinder climate change mitigation strategies. This study presents PropNet-R, a convolutional neural network (CNN) designed to estimate propane concentrations (ppm) from thermal images. A dataset of 3574 thermal images synchronized with concentration measurements was collected under controlled conditions. PropNet-R, composed of four progressive convolutional blocks, was compared with SqueezeNet, VGG19, and ResNet50, all fine-tuned for regression tasks. On the test set, PropNet-R achieved MSE = 0.240, R2 = 0.614, MAE = 0.333, and Pearson’s r = 0.786, outperforming SqueezeNet (MSE = 0.374, R2 = 0.397), VGG19 (MSE = 0.447, R2 = 0.280), and ResNet50 (MSE = 0.474, R2 = 0.236). These findings provide empirical evidence that task-specific CNN architectures outperform generic transfer learning models in thermal image-based regression. By enabling continuous and quantitative monitoring of gas leaks, PropNet-R enhances safety in industrial and urban environments, complementing conventional chemical sensors. The proposed model contributes to the development of sustainable infrastructure by reducing gas-related risks, promoting energy security, and strengthening resilient, safe, and environmentally responsible urban systems.