Wolfgang Cyclone Landfall in October 2023: Extreme Sea Level and Erosion on the Southern Baltic Sea Coasts

This paper presents the hydrological and meteorological parameters of the Wolfgang storm surge on the southern Baltic Sea coast and the storm’s impact on coastal areas with highly urbanised and developed zones. The surge emerged during a rare cyclonic system that was located over Western Europe in October 2023. A high difference in air pressure between the western and eastern parts of the Baltic coast led to the high-velocity wind blowing from the eastern direction to the centre of the cyclone located over Denmark. It caused high sea levels in the western part of the Baltic Sea. On the German and Danish coasts, the inflow of water at a high wind velocity perpendicular to the coast caused a very high surge of the sea and strong undulation. In this part of the Baltic Sea, the storm caused an increase in the sea level ranging from 1.5 to 2.2 m above average. It was lower on the eastern part of the Polish coast, exceeding 0.9 m above average sea level. The erosion of the base of cliffs ranged from 2 to 7 m, depending on the sea level. The dune erosion was larger but more varied, which resulted from different heights of the beach, at a maximum of up to 18 m. The water run-up reached 5.2 m above mean sea level (AMSL). The run-up parameter is a more accurate indicator of the potential threat than the sea level height. As a result of water run-up on the coast, lowlands situated even as far as 300 m from the shore were flooded. The storm caused significant damage to the coastal infrastructure and harbours. Research was conducted based on field studies and the analysis of digital documentation from websites, with the records of water run-up and the effects of the storm. Field studies were based on measures of coast retreat. Sea levels and wind were studied based on collected data.