Port Microgrid Capacity Planning Under Tightening Carbon Constraints: A Bi-Level Cost Optimization Framework

Under the tightening carbon reduction policies, port microgrids face the challenge of optimizing the installed capacity of multiple power generation types to reduce operating costs and increase renewable energy penetration. We develop a bi-level cost-optimization framework in which the upper level decides long-term capacities (PV, wind, gas turbine, bio-fuel unit, and battery energy storage), and the lower level dispatches a multi-energy port microgrid (electricity–heat–cold) on an hourly basis with frequency regulation services. To ensure rigor and reproducibility, we (i) move the methodology upfront and formalize all constraints, (ii) provide a dedicated data–preprocessing pipeline for multi-region 50/60 Hz frequency time series, and (iii) map a policy intensity index to a carbon price and/or an annual cap used in the objective/constraints. The bi-level MILP is solved by a column-and-constraint generation algorithm with optimality gap control. We report quantitative metrics—annualized total cost, CO2 emissions (t), renewable shares (%), and regulation cycles—across scenarios. Results show consistent cost–carbon trade-offs and robust capacity shifts toward storage and biofuel as policy tightens. All inputs and scripts are organized for exact replication.