Remote Sensing-Based Monitoring of Agricultural Drought and Irrigation Adaptation Strategies in the Antalya Basin, Türkiye

Drought is a critical hazard to agricultural productivity in semi-arid regions such as the Antalya Agricultural Basin of Türkiye. This study assessed agricultural drought from 2001 to 2023 using multiple remote sensing-based indices processed in Google Earth Engine (GEE). Vegetation indicators (Normalized Difference Vegetation Index, Normalized Difference Water Index, Normalized Difference Drought Index, Vegetation Condition Index, Temperature Condition Index, and Vegetation Health Index) were derived from MODIS datasets, while the Precipitation Condition Index was calculated from CHIRPS precipitation data. Composite indicators included the Scaled Drought Composite Index, integrating vegetation, temperature, and precipitation factors, and the Soil Moisture Condition Index derived from reanalysis soil moisture data. Results revealed recurrent moderate drought with strong seasonal and interannual variability, with 2008 identified as the driest year and 2009 and 2012 as wet years. Summer was the most drought-prone season, with precipitation averaging 5.5 mm, PCI 1.1, SDCI 15.6, and SMCI 38.4, while winter exhibited recharge conditions (precipitation 197 mm, PCI 40.9, SDCI 57.3, SMCI 89.6). Interannual extremes were detected in 2008 (severe drought) and wetter conditions in 2009 and 2012. Vegetation stress was also notable in 2016 and 2018. The integration of multi-source datasets ensured consistency and robustness across indices. Overall, the findings improve understanding of agricultural drought dynamics and provide practical insights for irrigation modernization, efficient water allocation, and drought-resilient planning in line with Türkiye’s National Water Efficiency Strategy (2023–2033).