Storm Surge Dynamics and Mechanisms in the Macao Cross Tidal Channel

Storm surge dynamics in coastal zones and estuaries are complex, driven by coupled oceanic and terrestrial interactions that enhance the risk of coastal disasters. This study investigates storm surge characteristics and mechanisms in the Macao Cross Tidal Channel (MCTC), located in the Macao Sea Area (MSA). A tide-surge coupled numerical model was established using the unstructured grid Finite Volume Community Ocean Model (FVCOM). The model was rigorously validated against tide gauge data from Typhoon Hato, demonstrating strong performance, with a skill score of 0.95 and a correlation coefficient exceeding 0.94. The spatiotemporal characteristics and mechanisms of storm surge dynamics in the MCTC were elucidated. The results show that the MCTC’s complex geometry induces a geometric funneling effect, which substantially amplifies the storm surge compared with adjacent locations in the estuary and open sea. During the typhoon period, coastal geomorphology affects winds, tide levels, currents, and waves, which in turn spatially and temporally modulate the storm surge. Wind is the primary driver, but its effect is modulated by nonlinear interactions with waves, including enhanced bottom friction and wave set-down. In isolation, the wind-induced component contributed approximately 106% of the peak total surge. This overestimation quantitatively highlights the critical role of nonlinear interactions, where wave-enhanced bottom friction acts as a major energy sink, and wave set-down directly suppresses the water level at the channel entrance. The individual peak contributions from atmospheric pressure and wave were approximately 5% and 17%, respectively, but these peaks occurred out of phase with the storm surge. Energy transformation analysis based on the Bernoulli principle revealed a distinct conversion from potential to kinetic energy in the constricted transverse waterway, while the longitudinal waterway exhibited a more gradual energy change. These findings enhance the mechanistic understanding of storm surges in complex, constricted estuaries and can inform targeted strategies for coastal hazard mitigation in the Macao region.