A Synthetic European Weather Dataset Based on Spatiotemporal Vine Copulas

A stochastic weather generator provides data by capturing statistical properties of observed weather patterns, enabling the simulation of realistic time series beyond the historic record. Such simulated weather data can be valuable in many fields (e.g., agriculture and energy), where multiple variables (e.g., temperature and precipitation) influence the production processes. Here, we present a new European simulated dataset for temperature, precipitation and wind speed, generated by the MYRIAD-Stochastic vIne-copula Model (MYRIAD-SIM). MYRIAD-SIM captures both spatiotemporal and multivariate dependencies with the use of conditional vine copulas, a statistical tool. The statistical properties of the MYRIAD-SIM data closely resembles ERA5-Land data while maintaining sufficient variability to explore possible alternative scenarios. The simulated data can facilitate new insights in, for example, compound climate event research, by providing multivariate weather events across different conditions.

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Publication Details

Journal
Scientific Data
Published
2025-11-03
DOI
https://doi.org/10.1038/s41597-025-06015-3
Citations
1
Primary Topic
Hydrology and Drought Analysis
Type
article
Field-Weighted Citation Impact
1.11
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article

A Synthetic European Weather Dataset Based on Spatiotemporal Vine Copulas

Elco Koks, Judith Claassen, Wiebke Jäger, Marleen de Ruiter
1 citations
Scientific Data
Hydrology and Drought Analysis
1.11
article

A Synthetic European Weather Dataset Based on Spatiotemporal Vine Copulas

Elco Koks, Judith Claassen, Wiebke Jäger, Marleen de Ruiter
article en
1 citations

Abstract

A stochastic weather generator provides data by capturing statistical properties of observed weather patterns, enabling the simulation of realistic time series beyond the historic record. Such simulated weather data can be valuable in many fields (e.g., agriculture and energy), where multiple variables (e.g., temperature and precipitation) influence the production processes. Here, we present a new European simulated dataset for temperature, precipitation and wind speed, generated by the MYRIAD-Stochastic vIne-copula Model (MYRIAD-SIM). MYRIAD-SIM captures both spatiotemporal and multivariate dependencies with the use of conditional vine copulas, a statistical tool. The statistical properties of the MYRIAD-SIM data closely resembles ERA5-Land data while maintaining sufficient variability to explore possible alternative scenarios. The simulated data can facilitate new insights in, for example, compound climate event research, by providing multivariate weather events across different conditions.

Scientific DataVol. 12(1)
Deltares (NL), Vrije Universiteit Amsterdam (NL)
Openalex Percentile: Top 18%
Hydrology and Drought Analysis
1.11
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