Abstract 4370848: Prognostic Value of Left Atrial Strain in Predicting Atrial Fibrillation Recurrence After Catheter Ablation

Background: Left atrial (LA) strain is a marker of atrial myopathy and remodeling. While echocardiographic LA strain is increasingly used to assess atrial function, the prognostic value of change in LA strain before and after catheter ablation (CA) for atrial fibrillation (AF) remains underexplored. Objective: To evaluate the association between quartiles of LA strain parameters—including pre-ablation strain, post-ablation strain, and change in strain—with atrial fibrillation recurrence, stratified by ejection fraction (EF). Methods: This retrospective study encompassed AF patients who underwent their first CA at Mayo Clinic Arizona from Oct 2018 to Feb 2022. Transthoracic echocardiography parameters, including the three LA strain (LAS) phases—contraction, conduit, and reservoir—were collected using TOMTEC software on the closest date before the CA procedure. Logistic regression analysis was used to evaluate the association between LAS parameters and AF recurrence post-CA, adjusted for clinical covariates including age, gender, hypertension, diabetes, coronary artery disease, dyslipidemia, obstructive sleep apnea, thromboembolism, TIA/stroke, chronic kidney disease, and AF type. Results: Out of 335 patients who underwent CA, 222 had both pre- and post-ablation LA strain data. Among these, 71 of 222 patients (31.98%) experienced AF recurrence after CA. The mean age at time of procedure was 66.9 ± 10.3 years; 150 (67.57%) were male, and 83 (37.39%) had persistent AF. Significant associations were observed between specific quartiles of LA strain and AF recurrence. In patients with EF >50%, Q4 of contraction strain change (pre- vs. post-ablation) was strongly associated with increased recurrence risk (OR 8.80; 95% CI 1.80–42.98). Similarly, post-ablation contraction strain Q4 was associated with higher recurrence in both the overall group (OR 6.36; 95% CI 1.47–27.53) and the EF>50% subgroup (OR 8.80; 95% CI 1.80–42.98). In contrast, reservoir strain change Q2 (OR 0.10; 95% CI 0.01–0.86), and post-ablation reservoir strain Q3 (OR 0.09; 95% CI 0.01–0.69) and Q4 (OR 0.10; 95% CI 0.02–0.70) were protective. Conclusions: Greater increases in contraction strain post-ablation and higher post-ablation contraction strain were strongly associated with AF recurrence, particularly in those with preserved EF. Conversely, favorable reservoir strain post-ablation was protective. LA strain may offer key prognostic value in risk-stratifying AF patients undergoing ablation.