The continual problem of crossing survival curves in clinical trial analysis and methods for effectively addressing it: A narrative review

ABSTRACT The fundamental purpose of survival analysis is to compare the survival curves of two or more groups representing different interventions, thereby determining which treatment is more effective for informed decision-making. A classic statistical tool is the log-rank test, based on the proportional hazards (PH) assumption. However, in clinical studies, crossover of survival curves has often been noted. In such cases, more refined statistical methods are required, as the log-rank test may not yield significant results. In this article, we investigated the effect of the absence of the PH hypothesis. In addition, we evaluated modern tests, such as weighted log-rank tests and their variants, the supremum and modified log-rank tests, as well as Kaplan-Meier-based tests. These approaches offer improved statistical power and better control of type I errors. For the present study, a literature search was conducted to identify studies involving survival analysis with simultaneous deviation from the PH hypothesis. Articles published between January 2018 and April 2025 were retrieved from PubMed and ResearchGate. Of 263 initial articles, 46 were duplicates, 21 did not involve human studies, and 118 were excluded based on further screening. The final selection included 78 studies, with an additional 17 studies included for detailed analysis of alternative tests addressing violation of the PH assumption.

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Publication Details

Journal
Cancer Research Statistics and Treatment
Published
2025-10-01
DOI
https://doi.org/10.4103/crst.crst_62_25
Primary Topic
Statistical Methods in Clinical Trials
Type
article
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article

The continual problem of crossing survival curves in clinical trial analysis and methods for effectively addressing it: A narrative review

Ioannis Papasotiriou, George Beis
Cancer Research Statistics and Treatment
Statistical Methods in Clinical Trials
article

The continual problem of crossing survival curves in clinical trial analysis and methods for effectively addressing it: A narrative review

Ioannis Papasotiriou, George Beis
article en

Abstract

ABSTRACT The fundamental purpose of survival analysis is to compare the survival curves of two or more groups representing different interventions, thereby determining which treatment is more effective for informed decision-making. A classic statistical tool is the log-rank test, based on the proportional hazards (PH) assumption. However, in clinical studies, crossover of survival curves has often been noted. In such cases, more refined statistical methods are required, as the log-rank test may not yield significant results. In this article, we investigated the effect of the absence of the PH hypothesis. In addition, we evaluated modern tests, such as weighted log-rank tests and their variants, the supremum and modified log-rank tests, as well as Kaplan-Meier-based tests. These approaches offer improved statistical power and better control of type I errors. For the present study, a literature search was conducted to identify studies involving survival analysis with simultaneous deviation from the PH hypothesis. Articles published between January 2018 and April 2025 were retrieved from PubMed and ResearchGate. Of 263 initial articles, 46 were duplicates, 21 did not involve human studies, and 118 were excluded based on further screening. The final selection included 78 studies, with an additional 17 studies included for detailed analysis of alternative tests addressing violation of the PH assumption.

Cancer Research Statistics and TreatmentVol. 8(4)
Union for International Cancer Control (CH), Genetic Analysis (Norway) (NO)
Openalex Percentile: Top 70%
Statistical Methods in Clinical Trials
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