A Hybrid Exponential Smoothing and LSTM Approach With Double Lightning Search for Enhanced Prediction of Lithium‐Ion Battery Remaining Useful Life

ABSTRACT Lithium‐ion batteries are essential in modern energy systems, supplying electricity to many consumer products that require dependable operation. This study introduces a novel method for predicting the remaining useful life (RUL) and end‐of‐life (EoL) of lithium‐ion batteries (LIBs) using the long short‐term memory (LSTM) model. The process includes getting the data ready, using exponential smoothing (ES), making a sequence, using the double lightning search algorithm (DLSA) to find the best hyperparameters, and doing iterative LSTM modeling. ES is utilized to preprocess data, reduce noise, and improve input quality for the subsequent model phases, while the iterative integration of LSTM modeling and DLSA hyperparameter optimization enhances capacity estimates across the entire battery lifecycle. The model performance is assessed using basic statistical measures, indicating consistent accuracy in predicting the state of health (SOH) and RUL. The way the time series is set up lets the LSTM accurately find important time‐based relationships, even when there is much noise. Adaptive hyperparameter selection through DLSA safeguards against fluctuating degradation rates, yielding an average error of under ±0.002 ampere‐hours in capacity prediction. Systematic sampling and normalization make calculations faster without changing the quality of the data. Data from the NASA Prognostics Center of Excellence on LIB performance and degradation are used to validate the model. This predictive modeling approach shows how data smoothing, deep learning, and intelligent search algorithms can improve RUL and EoL forecasts for real‐time battery health monitoring and operational safety.

Authors

Institutions

Publication Details

Journal
Battery energy
Published
2025-11-02
DOI
https://doi.org/10.1002/bte2.20250052
Primary Topic
Advanced Battery Technologies Research
Type
article
Field-Weighted Citation Impact
0.00
Controls
|||
ALL TIME
JAN
FEB
MAR
APR
MAY
JUN
JUL
AUG
SEP
OCT
article

A Hybrid Exponential Smoothing and LSTM Approach With Double Lightning Search for Enhanced Prediction of Lithium‐Ion Battery Remaining Useful Life

Nikolaos Papakostas, Vincent Hargaden, Mohammad Rajabzadeh, Pezhman Ghadimi
Battery energy
Advanced Battery Technologies Research
article

A Hybrid Exponential Smoothing and LSTM Approach With Double Lightning Search for Enhanced Prediction of Lithium‐Ion Battery Remaining Useful Life

Nikolaos Papakostas, Vincent Hargaden, Mohammad Rajabzadeh, Pezhman Ghadimi
article en

Abstract

ABSTRACT Lithium‐ion batteries are essential in modern energy systems, supplying electricity to many consumer products that require dependable operation. This study introduces a novel method for predicting the remaining useful life (RUL) and end‐of‐life (EoL) of lithium‐ion batteries (LIBs) using the long short‐term memory (LSTM) model. The process includes getting the data ready, using exponential smoothing (ES), making a sequence, using the double lightning search algorithm (DLSA) to find the best hyperparameters, and doing iterative LSTM modeling. ES is utilized to preprocess data, reduce noise, and improve input quality for the subsequent model phases, while the iterative integration of LSTM modeling and DLSA hyperparameter optimization enhances capacity estimates across the entire battery lifecycle. The model performance is assessed using basic statistical measures, indicating consistent accuracy in predicting the state of health (SOH) and RUL. The way the time series is set up lets the LSTM accurately find important time‐based relationships, even when there is much noise. Adaptive hyperparameter selection through DLSA safeguards against fluctuating degradation rates, yielding an average error of under ±0.002 ampere‐hours in capacity prediction. Systematic sampling and normalization make calculations faster without changing the quality of the data. Data from the NASA Prognostics Center of Excellence on LIB performance and degradation are used to validate the model. This predictive modeling approach shows how data smoothing, deep learning, and intelligent search algorithms can improve RUL and EoL forecasts for real‐time battery health monitoring and operational safety.

Battery energyVol. 5(1)
University College Dublin (IE), I-Form Advanced Manufacturing Research Centre (IE), IK Foundation (GB)
Openalex Percentile: Top 65%
Advanced Battery Technologies Research
AI Navigator

Ask Laika to Summarize, Analyze, and Connect papers live on the map.

Summarize Papers & Methodologies

Extract key findings, datasets, and comparative methods across publications.

Benchmark Rankings & Visual Analytics

Rank top research institutions, authors, funders, topics, and journals by Field-Weighted Citation Impact (FWCI) and paper volume with instant charts.

Connect Distant Disciplines

Bridge topological clusters on the map to find hidden collaborative intersections.