Evidence of dark energy prior to its discovery

This is a review and statistical analysis of the evidence supporting the existence of a cosmological constant in the early 1990s, before its discovery made with distant supernovae in 1998. The earlier evidence was derived from new and more accurate measurements of the Universe, including its mass density, the Hubble constant, the age of the oldest stars, the filamentary large-scale structure, and the anisotropy of the cosmic microwave background. These measurements created tension for models that assumed the cosmological constant was zero. This tension was alleviated by several insightful papers published before 1996, which proposed a cosmological constant that increased the expansion rate. Statistical analysis here shows that the probability of the cosmological constant being zero was demonstrably less than a few percent. Some models identified a best-fit value close to the modern estimate of Ω Λ ~ 0.7.

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Publication Details

Journal
Journal for the History of Astronomy
Published
2025-07-19
DOI
https://doi.org/10.1177/00218286251336389
Citations
1
Primary Topic
Cosmology and Gravitation Theories
Type
article
Field-Weighted Citation Impact
1.15
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article

Evidence of dark energy prior to its discovery

Geoffrey W. Marcy
1 citations
Journal for the History of Astronomy
Cosmology and Gravitation Theories
1.15
article

Evidence of dark energy prior to its discovery

Geoffrey W. Marcy
article en
1 citations

Abstract

This is a review and statistical analysis of the evidence supporting the existence of a cosmological constant in the early 1990s, before its discovery made with distant supernovae in 1998. The earlier evidence was derived from new and more accurate measurements of the Universe, including its mass density, the Hubble constant, the age of the oldest stars, the filamentary large-scale structure, and the anisotropy of the cosmic microwave background. These measurements created tension for models that assumed the cosmological constant was zero. This tension was alleviated by several insightful papers published before 1996, which proposed a cosmological constant that increased the expansion rate. Statistical analysis here shows that the probability of the cosmological constant being zero was demonstrably less than a few percent. Some models identified a best-fit value close to the modern estimate of Ω Λ ~ 0.7.

Journal for the History of AstronomyVol. 56(3)
Health Awareness (United States) (US)
Openalex Percentile: Top 15%
Cosmology and Gravitation Theories
1.15
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