Power Consumption Forecasting of Spacecraft Based on Adaptive Frequency-Domain Pruning-Enhanced Transformer

Forecasting the power consumption of the spacecraft is critical for optimizing its lifespan and task allocation. However, the complex electromagnetic environment of outer space introduces unavoidable noise into the collected electrical signals. Moreover, the various subsystems of a multipower spacecraft are affected differently by internal and external noise, making it challenging for the existing methods to effectively capture the features of long-term power consumption sequences. We propose adaptive frequency-pruning-enhanced (AFPE)-iTransformer, a robust time-series forecasting model designed for spacecraft telemetry forecasting under noise and long-range dependency conditions. The model combines three key components: Legendre memory projection for historical compression, adaptive top-<italic xmlns:mml="http://www.w3.org/1998/Math/MathML" xmlns:xlink="http://www.w3.org/1999/xlink">k</i> frequency pruning for per-channel denoising, and an improved inverted transformer for cross-subsystem attention. Evaluated on three years of Mars Express (MEX) data, our method consistently outperforms the state-of-the-art baselines in both within-year and cross-year forecasting. It also achieves competitive efficiency, with fast model load time and moderate parameter size. While focused on power forecasting, the model’s modular design supports broader applications in telemetry and industrial forecasting. Model code and configurations are open-sourced for reproducibility.