The Decadal Increase in Terrestrial Water Storage in a Region Experiencing Rapid Transitions from Dry to Wet Periods

Understanding the impact of climate change and altered hydrologic cycles on regional water storage trends is crucial for predicting changes in recharge and streamflow and informing decisions regarding drought resilience and flood mitigation. While many regions have become drier under global climate change, the northeast United States has experienced an increased precipitation intensity, driving groundwater rise. This study integrates terrestrial water storage data from NASA’s Gravity Recovery and Climate Experiment (GRACE) satellites and soil moisture data from Soil Moisture Active Passive (SMAP), as well as long-term instrumental groundwater records from USGS groundwater monitoring wells, to understand the nature of storage trends. The results show that while aquifer-wide groundwater storage anomalies have stabilized in recent years, shallow groundwater and certain surface water bodies have accumulated about 0.6 cm of water annually, adding over 10 cm to the landscape, since 2005. These findings indicate that excess water from heavy rainfall is mainly stored in the shallow subsurface as perched aquifers and temporary wetlands rather than deep (5–30 m) aquifers. Understanding this change in storage is crucial for improving water resource management and adapting more effectively to a changing climate in the region.