Short-term power prediction of hybrid wind power generation

Abstract Accurate wind power prediction is crucial for maintaining the stability of power systems during large-scale wind power grid integration. In this paper, the generalization ability and nonlinear prediction advantages of Long Short-Term Memory networks are combined with the data-smoothing characteristics of Grey Models for short-term wind power prediction. Experimental tests show that the improved method achieves an average R2 value of 82.47% in 24-h, 72-h, and 5-day wind power prediction tasks, effectively improving prediction accuracy and reducing prediction errors.

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Publication Details

Journal
International Journal of Low-Carbon Technologies
Published
2025-01-01
DOI
https://doi.org/10.1093/ijlct/ctaf121
Primary Topic
Energy Load and Power Forecasting
Type
article
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article

Short-term power prediction of hybrid wind power generation

Yuan Li, Liming Wei
International Journal of Low-Carbon Technologies
Energy Load and Power Forecasting
article

Short-term power prediction of hybrid wind power generation

Yuan Li, Liming Wei
article en

Abstract

Abstract Accurate wind power prediction is crucial for maintaining the stability of power systems during large-scale wind power grid integration. In this paper, the generalization ability and nonlinear prediction advantages of Long Short-Term Memory networks are combined with the data-smoothing characteristics of Grey Models for short-term wind power prediction. Experimental tests show that the improved method achieves an average R2 value of 82.47% in 24-h, 72-h, and 5-day wind power prediction tasks, effectively improving prediction accuracy and reducing prediction errors.

International Journal of Low-Carbon TechnologiesVol. 20
Jilin Jianzhu University (CN)
Openalex Percentile: Top 69%
Energy Load and Power Forecasting
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