Identifying delayed human response to external risks: an econometric analysis of mobility change during a pandemic

This study provides a novel approach to estimating delayed human responses to health risks using a hybrid ARDL-Erlang model. Our findings highlight significant variability in the impact and timing of responses across states, underscoring the need for tailored public health policies. This study can also serve as guidelines and an example for identifying delayed human behavior in other settings.

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Publication Details

Journal
BMC Medical Research Methodology
Published
2025-10-29
DOI
https://doi.org/10.1186/s12874-025-02696-x
Primary Topic
COVID-19 epidemiological studies
Type
article
Field-Weighted Citation Impact
0.00

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article

Identifying delayed human response to external risks: an econometric analysis of mobility change during a pandemic

Hazhir Rahmandad, G Zhang, Ran Xu, Navid Ghaffarzadegan et al.
BMC Medical Research Methodology
COVID-19 epidemiological studies
article

Identifying delayed human response to external risks: an econometric analysis of mobility change during a pandemic

Hazhir Rahmandad, G Zhang, Ran Xu, Navid Ghaffarzadegan, Ann Osi
article en

Abstract

This study provides a novel approach to estimating delayed human responses to health risks using a hybrid ARDL-Erlang model. Our findings highlight significant variability in the impact and timing of responses across states, underscoring the need for tailored public health policies. This study can also serve as guidelines and an example for identifying delayed human behavior in other settings.

BMC Medical Research MethodologyVol. 25(1)
University of Connecticut (US), Massachusetts Institute of Technology (US), Virginia Tech (US)
National Science Foundation, Division of Social and Economic Sciences, Division of Mathematical Sciences
Openalex Percentile: Top 65%
COVID-19 epidemiological studies
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