Alcoholic Liver Disease and Systemic Inflammatory Response Syndrome: Mortality Prediction Using Biomarkers and Clinical Scores
<b>Background/Objectives</b>: Cirrhosis is an irreversible state of chronic liver disease. Systemic inflammatory response syndrome (SIRS) is a severe complication and significantly contributes to lethal outcomes in cirrhotic patients. We studied a group of cirrhotic patients with SIRS admitted to our centre, assessing the relationship with in-hospital outcomes. <b>Methods</b>: The study population included 102 patients with alcoholic cirrhosis and SIRS. Laboratory biomarkers, the model for end-stage liver disease, the model for end-stage liver disease-natrium, the Acute Physiology and Chronic Health Evaluation II score, CLIF-C organ failure, the systemic immune-inflammation index score (S II), and the Cirrhosis Acute Gastrointestinal Bleeding (CAGIB) score were tested in relation to the mortality risk using receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curves. <b>Results</b>: Our results demonstrated that values of sodium, chlorides, and albumin significantly correlated with 7-day survival. The area under the curve's (AUCs) values for sodium, chlorides, and albumin were 0.542, 0.627, and 0.610, respectively, for 7-day mortality prediction. The CAGIB score significantly correlated with 7-day mortality, with the cut-off value of -7.86 (AUC: 0.674, 95% CI (0.555-0.794)). For the assessment of 28-day mortality, the AUC values for sodium, chlorides, and albumin were 0.630, 0.654, and 0.661, respectively. Additionally, the cut-off value of the CAGIB score was found to be -7.84 (AUC: 0.625, 95% CI (0.509-0.740)) in 28-day mortality prediction. <b>Conclusions</b>: Sodium, chlorides, albumin, and the CAGIB score are reliable predictors of 7-day and 28-day in-hospital mortality in patients with advanced alcoholic liver disease and SIRS.
Authors
- Mutlu Kartal (ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-9015-1491)
- Snežana Lukić (ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-4646-1131)
- Dragana Mijač (ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-9386-4056)
- Tijana Glišić (ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-6242-7275)
- Dušan Popović (ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-5912-0360)
- Milica Stojković Lalošević (ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-4836-4439)
- Bojan Korica
- Nevena Baljosevic
- Jasna El Mezeni
- Jelena Nestorov
Institutions
- University of Belgrade (RS)
- University Hospital Center Dr Dragiša Mišović (RS)
Publication Details
- Journal
- Journal of Clinical Medicine
- Published
- 2025-10-25
- DOI
- https://doi.org/10.3390/jcm14217580
- Citations
- 2
- Primary Topic
- Liver Disease and Transplantation
- Type
- article
- Field-Weighted Citation Impact
- 2.64