Alcoholic Liver Disease and Systemic Inflammatory Response Syndrome: Mortality Prediction Using Biomarkers and Clinical Scores

<b>Background/Objectives</b>: Cirrhosis is an irreversible state of chronic liver disease. Systemic inflammatory response syndrome (SIRS) is a severe complication and significantly contributes to lethal outcomes in cirrhotic patients. We studied a group of cirrhotic patients with SIRS admitted to our centre, assessing the relationship with in-hospital outcomes. <b>Methods</b>: The study population included 102 patients with alcoholic cirrhosis and SIRS. Laboratory biomarkers, the model for end-stage liver disease, the model for end-stage liver disease-natrium, the Acute Physiology and Chronic Health Evaluation II score, CLIF-C organ failure, the systemic immune-inflammation index score (S II), and the Cirrhosis Acute Gastrointestinal Bleeding (CAGIB) score were tested in relation to the mortality risk using receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curves. <b>Results</b>: Our results demonstrated that values of sodium, chlorides, and albumin significantly correlated with 7-day survival. The area under the curve's (AUCs) values for sodium, chlorides, and albumin were 0.542, 0.627, and 0.610, respectively, for 7-day mortality prediction. The CAGIB score significantly correlated with 7-day mortality, with the cut-off value of -7.86 (AUC: 0.674, 95% CI (0.555-0.794)). For the assessment of 28-day mortality, the AUC values for sodium, chlorides, and albumin were 0.630, 0.654, and 0.661, respectively. Additionally, the cut-off value of the CAGIB score was found to be -7.84 (AUC: 0.625, 95% CI (0.509-0.740)) in 28-day mortality prediction. <b>Conclusions</b>: Sodium, chlorides, albumin, and the CAGIB score are reliable predictors of 7-day and 28-day in-hospital mortality in patients with advanced alcoholic liver disease and SIRS.

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Publication Details

Journal
Journal of Clinical Medicine
Published
2025-10-25
DOI
https://doi.org/10.3390/jcm14217580
Citations
2
Primary Topic
Liver Disease and Transplantation
Type
article
Field-Weighted Citation Impact
2.64
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article

Alcoholic Liver Disease and Systemic Inflammatory Response Syndrome: Mortality Prediction Using Biomarkers and Clinical Scores

Mutlu Kartal, Snežana Lukić, Dragana Mijač, Tijana Glišić et al.
2 citations
Journal of Clinical Medicine
Liver Disease and Transplantation
2.64
article

Alcoholic Liver Disease and Systemic Inflammatory Response Syndrome: Mortality Prediction Using Biomarkers and Clinical Scores

Mutlu Kartal, Snežana Lukić, Dragana Mijač, Tijana Glišić, Dušan Popović, Milica Stojković Lalošević, Bojan Korica, Nevena Baljosevic, Jasna El Mezeni, Jelena Nestorov
article en
2 citations

Abstract

<b>Background/Objectives</b>: Cirrhosis is an irreversible state of chronic liver disease. Systemic inflammatory response syndrome (SIRS) is a severe complication and significantly contributes to lethal outcomes in cirrhotic patients. We studied a group of cirrhotic patients with SIRS admitted to our centre, assessing the relationship with in-hospital outcomes. <b>Methods</b>: The study population included 102 patients with alcoholic cirrhosis and SIRS. Laboratory biomarkers, the model for end-stage liver disease, the model for end-stage liver disease-natrium, the Acute Physiology and Chronic Health Evaluation II score, CLIF-C organ failure, the systemic immune-inflammation index score (S II), and the Cirrhosis Acute Gastrointestinal Bleeding (CAGIB) score were tested in relation to the mortality risk using receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curves. <b>Results</b>: Our results demonstrated that values of sodium, chlorides, and albumin significantly correlated with 7-day survival. The area under the curve's (AUCs) values for sodium, chlorides, and albumin were 0.542, 0.627, and 0.610, respectively, for 7-day mortality prediction. The CAGIB score significantly correlated with 7-day mortality, with the cut-off value of -7.86 (AUC: 0.674, 95% CI (0.555-0.794)). For the assessment of 28-day mortality, the AUC values for sodium, chlorides, and albumin were 0.630, 0.654, and 0.661, respectively. Additionally, the cut-off value of the CAGIB score was found to be -7.84 (AUC: 0.625, 95% CI (0.509-0.740)) in 28-day mortality prediction. <b>Conclusions</b>: Sodium, chlorides, albumin, and the CAGIB score are reliable predictors of 7-day and 28-day in-hospital mortality in patients with advanced alcoholic liver disease and SIRS.

Journal of Clinical MedicineVol. 14(21)
University of Belgrade (RS), University Hospital Center Dr Dragiša Mišović (RS)
Openalex Percentile: Top 8%
Liver Disease and Transplantation
2.64
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