COVID-19, infection fatality rate (IFR) implied by the serology, antibody, testing in New York City

This paper estimates COVID-19 infection fatality rate (IFR) in early 2020 before pharmaceutical interventions were available on a large population in the United States. The better estimates of COVID-19 deaths in New York City and its high COVID-19 infection rate made it ideal to accurately estimate the IFR. Further, we analyze the deaths and infections in New York City to estimate an overall IFR for the United States of 0.86 percent.

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Publication Details

Journal
Infectious Disease Modelling
Published
2025-10-28
DOI
https://doi.org/10.1016/j.idm.2025.10.004
Primary Topic
COVID-19 epidemiological studies
Type
article
Field-Weighted Citation Impact
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article

COVID-19, infection fatality rate (IFR) implied by the serology, antibody, testing in New York City

Linus Wilson
Infectious Disease Modelling
COVID-19 epidemiological studies
article

COVID-19, infection fatality rate (IFR) implied by the serology, antibody, testing in New York City

Linus Wilson
article en

Abstract

This paper estimates COVID-19 infection fatality rate (IFR) in early 2020 before pharmaceutical interventions were available on a large population in the United States. The better estimates of COVID-19 deaths in New York City and its high COVID-19 infection rate made it ideal to accurately estimate the IFR. Further, we analyze the deaths and infections in New York City to estimate an overall IFR for the United States of 0.86 percent.

Infectious Disease ModellingVol. 11(1)
University of Louisiana at Lafayette (US)
Openalex Percentile: Top 65%
COVID-19 epidemiological studies
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COVID-19, infection fatality rate (IFR) implied by the serology, antibody, testing in New York City — Linus Wilson · Infectious Disease Modelling (2025) | TGRS Research Map | TGRS