Comparison of Semi-Empirical Models in Estimating Global Horizontal Irradiance for South Korea and Indonesia

Accurate estimation of global horizontal irradiance (GHI) is essential for optimizing photovoltaic (PV) systems, particularly in regions with distinct climatic characteristics. Geostationary satellites, such as GK2A and COMS, provide consistent and spatially extensive data, offering a practical alternative to ground-based measurements. However, the performance of semi-empirical GHI models has been sparsely evaluated across diverse geographic zones. This study aimed to conduct a comparative analysis of four semi-empirical models—Beyer, Rigollier, Hammer, and Perez—applied to two contrasting locations: Seoul, South Korea (temperate) and Jakarta, Indonesia (tropical). Using satellite-derived cloud indices and ground-based pyranometer data, model performance was evaluated via RMSE, MBE, and their relative metrics. Results indicate that the Hammer model achieves the best performance in Seoul (RMSE: 103.92 W/m2; MBE: 0.09 W/m2), while the Perez model outperforms others in Jakarta with the lowest relative RMSE of 58.69%. The analysis outlines the limitations of transferring models calibrated in temperate climates to tropical settings without regional adaptation. This study provides critical insights for improving satellite-based GHI estimation and supports the development of region-specific forecasting tools essential for expanding solar infrastructure in Southeast Asia.