Stock Price Prediction Using a Stacked Heterogeneous Ensemble

Forecasting stock price ranges remains a significant challenge because of the non-linear nature of financial data. This study proposes and evaluates a stacking ensemble model for range-based volatility forecasting, using open, high, low, and close (OHLC) prices. The model integrates a diverse, heterogeneous set of base learners, such as statistical (ARIMA), machine learning (Random Forest), and deep learning (LSTM, GRU, Transformer) models, with an XGBoost meta-learner. Applied to several major financial indices and a single stock, the proposed framework demonstrates high predictive accuracy, achieving R2 scores between 0.9735 and 0.9905. These results highlight the efficacy of a multi-faceted stacking approach in navigating the complexities of financial forecasting.

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Publication Details

Journal
International Journal of Financial Studies
Published
2025-10-28
DOI
https://doi.org/10.3390/ijfs13040201
Citations
1
Primary Topic
Stock Market Forecasting Methods
Type
article
Field-Weighted Citation Impact
2.11
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article

Stock Price Prediction Using a Stacked Heterogeneous Ensemble

Stavros Shiaeles, Mani Ghahremani, Michael E. Parker
1 citations
International Journal of Financial Studies
Stock Market Forecasting Methods
2.11
article

Stock Price Prediction Using a Stacked Heterogeneous Ensemble

Stavros Shiaeles, Mani Ghahremani, Michael E. Parker
article en
1 citations

Abstract

Forecasting stock price ranges remains a significant challenge because of the non-linear nature of financial data. This study proposes and evaluates a stacking ensemble model for range-based volatility forecasting, using open, high, low, and close (OHLC) prices. The model integrates a diverse, heterogeneous set of base learners, such as statistical (ARIMA), machine learning (Random Forest), and deep learning (LSTM, GRU, Transformer) models, with an XGBoost meta-learner. Applied to several major financial indices and a single stock, the proposed framework demonstrates high predictive accuracy, achieving R2 scores between 0.9735 and 0.9905. These results highlight the efficacy of a multi-faceted stacking approach in navigating the complexities of financial forecasting.

International Journal of Financial StudiesVol. 13(4)
University of Portsmouth (GB)
Openalex Percentile: Top 9%
Stock Market Forecasting Methods
2.11
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