Stock Price Prediction Using a Stacked Heterogeneous Ensemble
Forecasting stock price ranges remains a significant challenge because of the non-linear nature of financial data. This study proposes and evaluates a stacking ensemble model for range-based volatility forecasting, using open, high, low, and close (OHLC) prices. The model integrates a diverse, heterogeneous set of base learners, such as statistical (ARIMA), machine learning (Random Forest), and deep learning (LSTM, GRU, Transformer) models, with an XGBoost meta-learner. Applied to several major financial indices and a single stock, the proposed framework demonstrates high predictive accuracy, achieving R2 scores between 0.9735 and 0.9905. These results highlight the efficacy of a multi-faceted stacking approach in navigating the complexities of financial forecasting.
Authors
- Stavros Shiaeles (ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-3866-0672)
- Mani Ghahremani (ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-7693-2048)
- Michael E. Parker (ORCID: https://orcid.org/0009-0007-8911-6833)
Institutions
- University of Portsmouth (GB)
Publication Details
- Journal
- International Journal of Financial Studies
- Published
- 2025-10-28
- DOI
- https://doi.org/10.3390/ijfs13040201
- Citations
- 1
- Primary Topic
- Stock Market Forecasting Methods
- Type
- article
- Field-Weighted Citation Impact
- 2.11