A wind tunnel test of wind farm auctions

Globally, governments increasingly rely on auctions to advance renewable energy. We study the design of wind farm auctions and analyze the impact of price guarantees and subsidies. While in the theoretical analysis the price guarantee has no effect, our laboratory experiment suggests that it improves efficiency and often increases production and revenue. The price guarantee turns out to nullify correlations between participants’ willingness to take risks and their bids, which, in turn, improves efficiency relative to the case without price guarantee. The subsidy is less effective than suggested by theory. Bidders with a higher valuation tend to bid more conservatively than the equilibrium prediction, thus neutralizing the efficiency-enhancing effect of the subsidy. Our results may have implications for other auctions in which rights are allocated to enter markets characterized by heavy upfront investments and uncertainty about future payoffs. • We study wind farm auctions with common and private value elements using theory and experiments. • A price guarantee increases efficiency and production in the experiment, contrary to theory. • Subsidies have smaller experimental effects on efficiency than theory predicts. • Risk aversion distorts bidding and production, reducing efficiency. • Results have implications for auctions with large upfront investments and uncertainty.

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Publication Details

Journal
Energy Economics
Published
2025-10-28
DOI
https://doi.org/10.1016/j.eneco.2025.108984
Primary Topic
Auction Theory and Applications
Type
article
Field-Weighted Citation Impact
0.00

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article

A wind tunnel test of wind farm auctions

Sander Onderstal, Jasper Veldman, Xinyu Li, Marco Haan
Energy Economics
Auction Theory and Applications
article

A wind tunnel test of wind farm auctions

Sander Onderstal, Jasper Veldman, Xinyu Li, Marco Haan
article en

Abstract

Globally, governments increasingly rely on auctions to advance renewable energy. We study the design of wind farm auctions and analyze the impact of price guarantees and subsidies. While in the theoretical analysis the price guarantee has no effect, our laboratory experiment suggests that it improves efficiency and often increases production and revenue. The price guarantee turns out to nullify correlations between participants’ willingness to take risks and their bids, which, in turn, improves efficiency relative to the case without price guarantee. The subsidy is less effective than suggested by theory. Bidders with a higher valuation tend to bid more conservatively than the equilibrium prediction, thus neutralizing the efficiency-enhancing effect of the subsidy. Our results may have implications for other auctions in which rights are allocated to enter markets characterized by heavy upfront investments and uncertainty about future payoffs. • We study wind farm auctions with common and private value elements using theory and experiments. • A price guarantee increases efficiency and production in the experiment, contrary to theory. • Subsidies have smaller experimental effects on efficiency than theory predicts. • Risk aversion distorts bidding and production, reducing efficiency. • Results have implications for auctions with large upfront investments and uncertainty.

Energy EconomicsVol. 152
Netherlands Environmental Assessment Agency (NL), University of Groningen (NL), Tinbergen Institute (NL), University of Amsterdam (NL)
Rijksuniversiteit Groningen, Universiteit van Amsterdam, Nederlandse Organisatie voor Wetenschappelijk Onderzoek
Openalex Percentile: Top 64%
Auction Theory and Applications
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A wind tunnel test of wind farm auctions — Sander Onderstal, Jasper Veldman, et al. · Energy Economics (2025) | TGRS Research Map | TGRS