Moving Sum Procedure for Multiple Change Point Detection in Large Factor Models

ABSTRACT This paper proposes a moving sum methodology for detecting multiple change points in high‐dimensional time series under a factor model, where changes are attributed to those in loadings as well as emergence or disappearance of factors. We establish the asymptotic null distribution of the proposed test for family‐wise error control and show the consistency of the procedure for multiple change point estimation. Simulation studies and an application to a large dataset of volatilities demonstrate the competitive performance of the proposed method.

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Publication Details

Journal
Journal of Time Series Analysis
Published
2025-10-27
DOI
https://doi.org/10.1111/jtsa.70028
Citations
1
Primary Topic
Statistical Methods and Inference
Type
article
Field-Weighted Citation Impact
2.63

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article

Moving Sum Procedure for Multiple Change Point Detection in Large Factor Models

Lorenzo Trapani, Matteo Barigozzi, Haeran Cho
1 citations
Journal of Time Series Analysis
Statistical Methods and Inference
2.63
article

Moving Sum Procedure for Multiple Change Point Detection in Large Factor Models

Lorenzo Trapani, Matteo Barigozzi, Haeran Cho
article en
1 citations

Abstract

ABSTRACT This paper proposes a moving sum methodology for detecting multiple change points in high‐dimensional time series under a factor model, where changes are attributed to those in loadings as well as emergence or disappearance of factors. We establish the asymptotic null distribution of the proposed test for family‐wise error control and show the consistency of the procedure for multiple change point estimation. Simulation studies and an application to a large dataset of volatilities demonstrate the competitive performance of the proposed method.

Journal of Time Series Analysis
University of Leicester (GB), University of Pavia (IT), University of Bristol (GB), University of Bologna (IT)
Engineering and Physical Sciences Research Council
Openalex Percentile: Top 8%
Statistical Methods and Inference
2.63
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