Moving Sum Procedure for Multiple Change Point Detection in Large Factor Models
ABSTRACT This paper proposes a moving sum methodology for detecting multiple change points in high‐dimensional time series under a factor model, where changes are attributed to those in loadings as well as emergence or disappearance of factors. We establish the asymptotic null distribution of the proposed test for family‐wise error control and show the consistency of the procedure for multiple change point estimation. Simulation studies and an application to a large dataset of volatilities demonstrate the competitive performance of the proposed method.
Authors
- Lorenzo Trapani (ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-3425-2786)
- Matteo Barigozzi (ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-9090-5708)
- Haeran Cho (ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-0725-8704)
Institutions
- University of Leicester (GB)
- University of Pavia (IT)
- University of Bristol (GB)
- University of Bologna (IT)
Publication Details
- Journal
- Journal of Time Series Analysis
- Published
- 2025-10-27
- DOI
- https://doi.org/10.1111/jtsa.70028
- Citations
- 1
- Primary Topic
- Statistical Methods and Inference
- Type
- article
- Field-Weighted Citation Impact
- 2.63
Funders
- Engineering and Physical Sciences Research Council