Carbon footprint of the construction sector is projected to double by 2050 globally

Achieving the Paris Agreement's goals of holding global temperature rise well below 2 °C with efforts to limit it to 1.5 °C requires rapid reductions in greenhouse gas emissions. The built environment embodies substantial emissions, posing a challenge to meeting these goals. We quantify the carbon cost of constructing the global built-environment over the past three decades and project it to 2050. Our findings indicate that the global construction carbon footprint has doubled over the past three decades and is projected to more than double by 2050. In 2022, over half of the construction industry's carbon emissions stemmed from cementitious materials, bricks, and metals, while glass, plastics, chemicals, and bio-based materials contributed 6%, and the remaining 37% arose from transport, services, machinery, and on-site activities. Under the business-as-usual scenario, the construction carbon footprint alone will exceed the per-annum carbon budget for the 1.5 °C and 2 °C goals in the next two decades. It will use up all remaining carbon budget for the 1.5 °C goal by 2050, as our analysis highlights. Therefore, we advocate for a material revolution, such as replacing traditional materials with biobased materials, which leverages economies of scale and paves the way for a transformative and sustainable future in construction.

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Publication Details

Journal
Communications Earth & Environment
Published
2025-10-27
DOI
https://doi.org/10.1038/s43247-025-02840-x
Citations
9
Primary Topic
Environmental Impact and Sustainability
Type
article
Field-Weighted Citation Impact
7.19

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article

Carbon footprint of the construction sector is projected to double by 2050 globally

Jürgen P. Kropp, Hans Joachim Schellnhuber, Prajal Pradhan, Chaohui Li et al.
9 citations
Communications Earth & Environment
Environmental Impact and Sustainability
7.19
article

Carbon footprint of the construction sector is projected to double by 2050 globally

Jürgen P. Kropp, Hans Joachim Schellnhuber, Prajal Pradhan, Chaohui Li, G.Q. Chen
article en
9 citations

Abstract

Achieving the Paris Agreement's goals of holding global temperature rise well below 2 °C with efforts to limit it to 1.5 °C requires rapid reductions in greenhouse gas emissions. The built environment embodies substantial emissions, posing a challenge to meeting these goals. We quantify the carbon cost of constructing the global built-environment over the past three decades and project it to 2050. Our findings indicate that the global construction carbon footprint has doubled over the past three decades and is projected to more than double by 2050. In 2022, over half of the construction industry's carbon emissions stemmed from cementitious materials, bricks, and metals, while glass, plastics, chemicals, and bio-based materials contributed 6%, and the remaining 37% arose from transport, services, machinery, and on-site activities. Under the business-as-usual scenario, the construction carbon footprint alone will exceed the per-annum carbon budget for the 1.5 °C and 2 °C goals in the next two decades. It will use up all remaining carbon budget for the 1.5 °C goal by 2050, as our analysis highlights. Therefore, we advocate for a material revolution, such as replacing traditional materials with biobased materials, which leverages economies of scale and paves the way for a transformative and sustainable future in construction.

Communications Earth & EnvironmentVol. 6(1)
Macau University of Science and Technology (MO), International Institute for Applied Systems Analysis (AT), University of Groningen (NL), Peking University (CN), Leibniz Association (DE), Potsdam Institute for Climate Impact Research (DE)
European Commission, National Natural Science Foundation of China, China Scholarship Council
Openalex Percentile: Top 3%
Environmental Impact and Sustainability
7.19
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