Understanding Pavement Texture Evolution and Its Impact on Skid Resistance Through Machine Learning

The texture of asphalt pavement wears down over time due to traffic polishing, which leads to polished pavement surfaces with lower skid resistance. Three-dimensional (3D) texture parameters can be used to describe the evolution of pavement texture and establish predictive models for skid resistance. In this study, a high-resolution 3D laser scanner and a pendulum friction tester were used to collect 3D texture data and the corresponding friction values of dense-graded asphalt pavement over a period of four years. Fourier transformer and Butterworth filters were applied to decompose the 3D texture data into micro-texture and macro-texture components. Twenty different 3D texture parameters from five categories (height, spatial, hybrid, functional, and feature parameters) were calculated from pavement micro- and macro-textures and optimized using correlation methods to derive an independent set of texture parameters. The performance of a multiple linear regression model and neural network predictive model for predicting skid resistance via selected texture parameters was compared through training and testing. The results indicate that pavement micro-texture contributes more significantly to skid resistance than macro-texture, and neural network models can effectively predict the temporal evolution of skid resistance based on texture data. The neural network model achieves R2 values of 0.92 and 0.89 on the training and testing sets, respectively, with RMSE values of 3.37 and 5.45, significantly outperforming the multiple linear regression model (R2 = 0.50).