Comparison of the Applicability of Mainstream Objective Circulation Type Classification Methods in China

Circulation type classification (CTC) is an important method in atmospheric sciences, which reveals the relationship between atmospheric circulation and regional weather and climate. Accurate circulation classification helps to improve weather forecasting accuracy and supports climate change research. China has complex topography and significant spatiotemporal variability in its circulation patterns, making the study of circulation type classification in this region highly significant. This study aims to evaluate the applicability of several mainstream objective CTC methods in the China region. We applied methods including T-mode principal component analysis (PCT), Ward linkage, K-means, and Self-Organizing Maps (SOM) to classify the sea-level pressure daily mean fields from 1993 to 2023 in the study area, and compared the classification results in terms of internal metrics, continuity, seasonal variation, separability of related meteorological variables (e.g., temperature, precipitation), and stability to spatiotemporal resolution. The results show that each method has its advantages in different contexts, with the K-means method showing the best overall performance. Additionally, an optimized approach combining PCT and K-means is proposed.

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Publication Details

Journal
Atmosphere
Published
2025-10-24
DOI
https://doi.org/10.3390/atmos16111231
Primary Topic
Climate variability and models
Type
article
Field-Weighted Citation Impact
0.00

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article

Comparison of the Applicability of Mainstream Objective Circulation Type Classification Methods in China

Ran Chen, Minjin Ma, Xingyu Zhang
Atmosphere
Climate variability and models
article

Comparison of the Applicability of Mainstream Objective Circulation Type Classification Methods in China

Ran Chen, Minjin Ma, Xingyu Zhang
article en

Abstract

Circulation type classification (CTC) is an important method in atmospheric sciences, which reveals the relationship between atmospheric circulation and regional weather and climate. Accurate circulation classification helps to improve weather forecasting accuracy and supports climate change research. China has complex topography and significant spatiotemporal variability in its circulation patterns, making the study of circulation type classification in this region highly significant. This study aims to evaluate the applicability of several mainstream objective CTC methods in the China region. We applied methods including T-mode principal component analysis (PCT), Ward linkage, K-means, and Self-Organizing Maps (SOM) to classify the sea-level pressure daily mean fields from 1993 to 2023 in the study area, and compared the classification results in terms of internal metrics, continuity, seasonal variation, separability of related meteorological variables (e.g., temperature, precipitation), and stability to spatiotemporal resolution. The results show that each method has its advantages in different contexts, with the K-means method showing the best overall performance. Additionally, an optimized approach combining PCT and K-means is proposed.

AtmosphereVol. 16(11)
Lanzhou University (CN)
Lanzhou University, European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts
Openalex Percentile: Top 71%
Climate variability and models
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