Evolutionary Analysis of Air Traffic Situation in Multi-Airport Terminal Areas

As the demand for air transportation surges, issues like flight conflicts and air-route congestion within multi-airport terminal areas have grown progressively more serious. Analyzing the evolution of air traffic situations in these areas can effectively enhance the air traffic’s early-warning capability, reduce flight conflicts, and alleviate air-route congestion. This paper proposes a method for analyzing the evolution of air traffic situations in multi-airport terminal areas based on flight segment–flight state interdependent network. First, a flight segment–flight state interdependent network model is established. This interdependent network model consists of an upper-layer flight state network, a lower-layer air-route network, and coupling edges. The upper-layer network is constructed with aircraft as nodes and flight conflicts between aircraft as edges. The lower-layer network takes air-routes as nodes and the connection relationships between air-routes as edges. The inter-layer coupling edges are determined by judging the relationship between aircraft and air-routes. If an aircraft is on a certain air-route, there exists a coupling edge between the aircraft node and the air-route node. On this basis, by comprehensively considering three network indicators, namely node degree, weighted clustering coefficient, and node strength, the overall air traffic situation value is obtained. Finally, experimental verification and analysis were conducted in an actual flight scenario of a multi-airport terminal area in the Guangdong–Hong Kong–Macao Greater Bay Area. The results show that the proposed method can accurately reflect the air traffic situation. The time-series analysis of the situation evolution reveals that the evolution process has chaotic characteristics.