Predicting acute coronary events after breast cancer radiotherapy: Integrating baseline cardiovascular risk, systemic therapy, and cardiac radiation dose in the MEDIRAD BRACE study
At ten years, the cumulative incidence of ACE was 4.8 % and 1.4 % in the development and external sets, respectively. Model 2, which included WH-D1, LV-V6, and right ventricle (RV)-V6, did not outperform Model 1 (LR p = 0.422). Consequently, further model improvement was pursued by expanding Model 1 rather than Model 2. The resulting Model 3 incorporated the parameters from Model 1 along with the total CAC volume, significantly enhancing predictive performance (LR p < 0.001). At 10 years post-RT, each model had c-indexes above 0.73 at internal validation, with Model 3 performing best (c-index 0.78; 95 % CI, 0.72-0.83) CONCLUSION: A model including seven clinical parameters, WH-Dmean, LV-V5, and total CAC volume best predicted ACE risk and may guide RT dose optimisation strategies.
Authors
- Johannes A. Langendijk (ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-1083-372X)
- John H. Maduro (ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-2458-8702)
- Pim van der Harst (ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-2713-686X)
- N.M. Sijtsema
- Flora E. van Leeuwen (ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-5871-1484)
- Naomi B. Boekel
- G. Sikkema
- Sophie Jacob (ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-1729-305X)
- Anne P.G. Crijns (ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-3157-0626)
- Stephanie Elisabeth Combs (ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-6934-2864)
- N.S. Russell
- E. Schuit
- V.A.B. van den Bogaard
- R. Vliegenthart
- K. Borm
- Michael Mayinger (ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-4433-2552)
- Daan Spoor (ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-6246-8387)
Institutions
- University Medical Center Groningen (NL)
- University of Groningen (NL)
- Utrecht University (NL)
- TUM Klinikum (DE)
- The Netherlands Cancer Institute (NL)
- University Medical Center Utrecht (NL)
Publication Details
- Journal
- European Journal of Cancer
- Published
- 2025-10-25
- DOI
- https://doi.org/10.1016/j.ejca.2025.116055
- Citations
- 2
- Primary Topic
- Chemotherapy-induced cardiotoxicity and mitigation
- Type
- article
- Field-Weighted Citation Impact
- 2.78