Uncovering Correlation Sensitivity in Decision Making Under Risk

ABSTRACT Allowing risk preferences to depend on the correlation between lottery outcomes can explain behavioral anomalies, while empirical evidence is limited and mixed. Using the framework of correlation sensitivity, we classify preferences into three types and adapt a choice task to categorize subjects. Experiments show that aggregate choices exhibit correlation sensitivity opposite to regret and salience theory predictions. Clustering analysis reveals that a correlation‐sensitive minority drives these patterns, while most subjects display no sensitivity. We further disentangle deliberate within‐state comparisons from incidental payoff comparisons, finding that both contribute to correlation sensitivity, with deliberate comparisons exerting slightly stronger effects.

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Publication Details

Journal
International Economic Review
Published
2025-10-25
DOI
https://doi.org/10.1111/iere.70035
Primary Topic
Decision-Making and Behavioral Economics
Type
article
Field-Weighted Citation Impact
0.00

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article

Uncovering Correlation Sensitivity in Decision Making Under Risk

Moritz Loewenfeld, Jiakun Zheng
International Economic Review
Decision-Making and Behavioral Economics
article

Uncovering Correlation Sensitivity in Decision Making Under Risk

Moritz Loewenfeld, Jiakun Zheng
article en

Abstract

ABSTRACT Allowing risk preferences to depend on the correlation between lottery outcomes can explain behavioral anomalies, while empirical evidence is limited and mixed. Using the framework of correlation sensitivity, we classify preferences into three types and adapt a choice task to categorize subjects. Experiments show that aggregate choices exhibit correlation sensitivity opposite to regret and salience theory predictions. Clustering analysis reveals that a correlation‐sensitive minority drives these patterns, while most subjects display no sensitivity. We further disentangle deliberate within‐state comparisons from incidental payoff comparisons, finding that both contribute to correlation sensitivity, with deliberate comparisons exerting slightly stronger effects.

International Economic Review
Centre National de la Recherche Scientifique (FR), University of Vienna (AT), Centrale Méditerranée (FR)
Aix-Marseille Université, Agence Nationale de la Recherche
Openalex Percentile: Top 62%
Decision-Making and Behavioral Economics
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Uncovering Correlation Sensitivity in Decision Making Under Risk — Moritz Loewenfeld, Jiakun Zheng · International Economic Review (2025) | TGRS Research Map | TGRS