Modelling lung function trajectories through life course

<h2>Abstract</h2> Lung function development reflects a complex interplay of biological, environmental, and social factors, with early-life disruptions linked to long-term respiratory and systemic outcomes. In this review, we assess how lung function trajectories have been modelled across the literature, combining a systematic search with a bibliometric analysis of 1919 longitudinal studies. We find that research remains largely concentrated around spirometry and classical statistical approaches, with limited engagement with alternative lung function measures or more flexible modelling frameworks. Although interest in newer methods has grown, the use of machine learning algorithms is often disconnected from clinical application, and approaches such as Bayesian and functional data analysis, which sit in the "Goldilocks" zone between predictive power and interpretability, are almost completely absent. Alongside this methodological conservatism, we observe a striking global asymmetry in authorship and research output, with high-income countries dominating publications and low- and middle-income countries consistently underrepresented and most likely positioned in secondary roles. These patterns constrain the relevance and reach of current research, limiting its capacity to reflect diverse populations and contexts. We argue that progress will require broader engagement with underused measurement and modelling strategies and a commitment to more equitable, interdisciplinary collaboration across settings and disciplines.

Authors

Institutions

Publication Details

Journal
Annals of Allergy Asthma & Immunology
Published
2025-10-25
DOI
https://doi.org/10.1016/j.anai.2025.10.024
Citations
1
Primary Topic
Chronic Obstructive Pulmonary Disease (COPD) Research
Type
article
Field-Weighted Citation Impact
1.52
Controls
|||
ALL TIME
JAN
FEB
MAR
APR
MAY
JUN
JUL
AUG
SEP
OCT
article

Modelling lung function trajectories through life course

Adnan Ćustović, Sara Fontanella, Douglas A. Gray, Heather Joy Zar et al.
1 citations
Annals of Allergy Asthma & Immunology
Chronic Obstructive Pulmonary Disease (COPD) Research
1.52
article

Modelling lung function trajectories through life course

Adnan Ćustović, Sara Fontanella, Douglas A. Gray, Heather Joy Zar, Henry Leath
article en
1 citations

Abstract

<h2>Abstract</h2> Lung function development reflects a complex interplay of biological, environmental, and social factors, with early-life disruptions linked to long-term respiratory and systemic outcomes. In this review, we assess how lung function trajectories have been modelled across the literature, combining a systematic search with a bibliometric analysis of 1919 longitudinal studies. We find that research remains largely concentrated around spirometry and classical statistical approaches, with limited engagement with alternative lung function measures or more flexible modelling frameworks. Although interest in newer methods has grown, the use of machine learning algorithms is often disconnected from clinical application, and approaches such as Bayesian and functional data analysis, which sit in the "Goldilocks" zone between predictive power and interpretability, are almost completely absent. Alongside this methodological conservatism, we observe a striking global asymmetry in authorship and research output, with high-income countries dominating publications and low- and middle-income countries consistently underrepresented and most likely positioned in secondary roles. These patterns constrain the relevance and reach of current research, limiting its capacity to reflect diverse populations and contexts. We argue that progress will require broader engagement with underused measurement and modelling strategies and a commitment to more equitable, interdisciplinary collaboration across settings and disciplines.

Annals of Allergy Asthma & ImmunologyVol. 136(3)
University of Cape Town (ZA), Imperial College London (GB)
Openalex Percentile: Top 13%
Chronic Obstructive Pulmonary Disease (COPD) Research
1.52
AI Navigator

Ask Laika to Summarize, Analyze, and Connect papers live on the map.

Summarize Papers & Methodologies

Extract key findings, datasets, and comparative methods across publications.

Benchmark Rankings & Visual Analytics

Rank top research institutions, authors, funders, topics, and journals by Field-Weighted Citation Impact (FWCI) and paper volume with instant charts.

Connect Distant Disciplines

Bridge topological clusters on the map to find hidden collaborative intersections.

Modelling lung function trajectories through life course — Adnan Ćustović, Sara Fontanella, et al. · Annals of Allergy Asthma & Immunology (2025) | TGRS Research Map | TGRS