S437 Inflammatory Indices as Markers of Diagnostic Accuracy for Distant Metastasis in Colorectal Cancer in a Resource-Limited Setting

Introduction: Colorectal cancer (CRC) is the third most common malignancy worldwide and the second leading cause of cancer-related mortality. Its incidence has shown a significant increase in developing regions. Approximately 70% of cases are diagnosed at advanced stages, and 20% present with distant metastases at diagnosis. Therefore, early detection is critical; however, in low- and middle-income countries, the availability of advanced diagnostic tools is limited due to high costs. Thus, the objective of this study was to evaluate the diagnostic accuracy of the neutrophil-to-lymphocyte ratio (NLR) and the platelet-to-lymphocyte ratio (PLR) for detecting distant metastases in CRC patients. Methods: An observational, analytical, and cross-sectional study was conducted, including all CRC patients over 18 years of age treated at María Auxiliadora Hospital (Lima, Peru) from 2016 to 2020. Patients with autoimmune or infectious diseases were excluded. Diagnostic accuracy was assessed using the receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curve and the area under the ROC curve (AUROC), with 95% confidence intervals (CIs) and optimal cut-off points determined by the Youden index. Results: Of the 116 CRC patients, 19 were excluded due to incomplete medical records. Of the remaining, 51.55% were men and 20% were older than 70 years. Distant metastases were present in 19.6% of cases. The optimal NLR cut-off was 3.55, yielding a sensitivity of 57.9%, specificity of 66.7%, positive predictive value (PPV) of 29.7%, negative predictive value (NPV) of 86.7%, and AUROC of 0.62 (95% CI: 0.50–0.75). For PLR, the cut-off was 192, with a sensitivity of 84.2%, specificity of 50%, PPV of 29.1%, NPV of 92.9%, and AUROC of 0.67 (95% CI: 0.57–0.77). Carcinoembryonic antigen ≥5 ng/ml showed a sensitivity of 78.9% and specificity of 52.6%, with AUROC of 0.66 (95% CI: 0.55–0.77), while serum albumin <3.5 g/dL had an AUROC of 0.75 (95% CI: 0.67–0.82), with sensitivity of 94.7% (95% CI: 74–99.9) and specificity of 55.1% (95% CI: 43.4–66.4). Conclusion: A prevalence of 19.6% of CRC with distant metastasis was found. PLR and serum albumin stood out for their high sensitivity and NPV, highlighting their potential as accessible and low-cost markers for use in resource-limited settings.

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Publication Details

Journal
The American Journal of Gastroenterology
Published
2025-10-01
DOI
https://doi.org/10.14309/01.ajg.0001129208.95005.12
Primary Topic
Cancer Diagnosis and Treatment
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article
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article

S437 Inflammatory Indices as Markers of Diagnostic Accuracy for Distant Metastasis in Colorectal Cancer in a Resource-Limited Setting

C Narváez, José M. Vela-Ruiz, Antonio Pardo, Andre J. Fuentes Yufra
The American Journal of Gastroenterology
Cancer Diagnosis and Treatment
article

S437 Inflammatory Indices as Markers of Diagnostic Accuracy for Distant Metastasis in Colorectal Cancer in a Resource-Limited Setting

C Narváez, José M. Vela-Ruiz, Antonio Pardo, Andre J. Fuentes Yufra
article en

Abstract

Introduction: Colorectal cancer (CRC) is the third most common malignancy worldwide and the second leading cause of cancer-related mortality. Its incidence has shown a significant increase in developing regions. Approximately 70% of cases are diagnosed at advanced stages, and 20% present with distant metastases at diagnosis. Therefore, early detection is critical; however, in low- and middle-income countries, the availability of advanced diagnostic tools is limited due to high costs. Thus, the objective of this study was to evaluate the diagnostic accuracy of the neutrophil-to-lymphocyte ratio (NLR) and the platelet-to-lymphocyte ratio (PLR) for detecting distant metastases in CRC patients. Methods: An observational, analytical, and cross-sectional study was conducted, including all CRC patients over 18 years of age treated at María Auxiliadora Hospital (Lima, Peru) from 2016 to 2020. Patients with autoimmune or infectious diseases were excluded. Diagnostic accuracy was assessed using the receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curve and the area under the ROC curve (AUROC), with 95% confidence intervals (CIs) and optimal cut-off points determined by the Youden index. Results: Of the 116 CRC patients, 19 were excluded due to incomplete medical records. Of the remaining, 51.55% were men and 20% were older than 70 years. Distant metastases were present in 19.6% of cases. The optimal NLR cut-off was 3.55, yielding a sensitivity of 57.9%, specificity of 66.7%, positive predictive value (PPV) of 29.7%, negative predictive value (NPV) of 86.7%, and AUROC of 0.62 (95% CI: 0.50–0.75). For PLR, the cut-off was 192, with a sensitivity of 84.2%, specificity of 50%, PPV of 29.1%, NPV of 92.9%, and AUROC of 0.67 (95% CI: 0.57–0.77). Carcinoembryonic antigen ≥5 ng/ml showed a sensitivity of 78.9% and specificity of 52.6%, with AUROC of 0.66 (95% CI: 0.55–0.77), while serum albumin <3.5 g/dL had an AUROC of 0.75 (95% CI: 0.67–0.82), with sensitivity of 94.7% (95% CI: 74–99.9) and specificity of 55.1% (95% CI: 43.4–66.4). Conclusion: A prevalence of 19.6% of CRC with distant metastasis was found. PLR and serum albumin stood out for their high sensitivity and NPV, highlighting their potential as accessible and low-cost markers for use in resource-limited settings.

The American Journal of GastroenterologyVol. 120(10S2)
Openalex Percentile: Top 58%
Cancer Diagnosis and Treatment
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