DualSG: A Dual-Stream Explicit Semantic-Guided Multivariate Time Series Forecasting Framework

Multivariate Time Series Forecasting plays a key role in many applications. Recent works have explored using Large Language Models for MTSF to take advantage of their reasoning abilities. However, many methods treat LLMs as end-to-end forecasters, which often leads to a loss of numerical precision and forces LLMs to handle patterns beyond their intended design. Alternatively, methods that attempt to align textual and time series modalities within latent space frequently encounter alignment difficulty. In this paper, we propose to treat LLMs not as standalone forecasters, but as semantic guidance modules within a dual-stream framework. We propose DualSG, a dual-stream framework that provides explicit semantic guidance, where LLMs act as Semantic Guides to refine rather than replace traditional predictions. As part of DualSG, we introduce Time Series Caption, an explicit prompt format that summarizes trend patterns in natural language and provides interpretable context for LLMs, rather than relying on implicit alignment between text and time series in the latent space. We also design a caption-guided fusion module that explicitly models inter-variable relationships while reducing noise and computation. Experiments on real-world datasets from diverse domains show that DualSG consistently outperforms 15 state-of-the-art baselines, demonstrating the value of explicitly combining numerical forecasting with semantic guidance.

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Published
2025-10-25
DOI
https://doi.org/10.1145/3746027.3755458
Primary Topic
Time Series Analysis and Forecasting
Type
article
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article

DualSG: A Dual-Stream Explicit Semantic-Guided Multivariate Time Series Forecasting Framework

Yao Wang, Chunjie Luo, Fanda Fan, Luqi Gong et al.
Time Series Analysis and Forecasting
article

DualSG: A Dual-Stream Explicit Semantic-Guided Multivariate Time Series Forecasting Framework

Yao Wang, Chunjie Luo, Fanda Fan, Luqi Gong, Jianfeng Zhan, Kuiye Ding, Yishan Jiang, Xiaorui Wang, Ruijie Jian
article en

Abstract

Multivariate Time Series Forecasting plays a key role in many applications. Recent works have explored using Large Language Models for MTSF to take advantage of their reasoning abilities. However, many methods treat LLMs as end-to-end forecasters, which often leads to a loss of numerical precision and forces LLMs to handle patterns beyond their intended design. Alternatively, methods that attempt to align textual and time series modalities within latent space frequently encounter alignment difficulty. In this paper, we propose to treat LLMs not as standalone forecasters, but as semantic guidance modules within a dual-stream framework. We propose DualSG, a dual-stream framework that provides explicit semantic guidance, where LLMs act as Semantic Guides to refine rather than replace traditional predictions. As part of DualSG, we introduce Time Series Caption, an explicit prompt format that summarizes trend patterns in natural language and provides interpretable context for LLMs, rather than relying on implicit alignment between text and time series in the latent space. We also design a caption-guided fusion module that explicitly models inter-variable relationships while reducing noise and computation. Experiments on real-world datasets from diverse domains show that DualSG consistently outperforms 15 state-of-the-art baselines, demonstrating the value of explicitly combining numerical forecasting with semantic guidance.

Chinese Academy of Sciences (CN), Beijing University of Technology (CN), Institute of Computing Technology (CN), Research Foundation of The City University of New York (US), Zhejiang Lab (CN), University of Chinese Academy of Sciences (CN), Columbia University (US)
Openalex Percentile: Top 61%
Time Series Analysis and Forecasting
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