Development of Electricity Demand Forecasting Technology for Hot Rolling Lines Using Machine Learning

Reducing energy consumption and emission is a key environmental issue. Although industry requires high-quality steel sheets for forming, the production of these sheets by the steel industry consumes enormous amounts of electric energy and emits significant amounts of CO2. In addition to reducing energy costs, there is a need to control CO2 emission, improve production efficiency, stabilize operations and solve several difficult problems simultaneously. Traditionally, the hot rolling process has been empirically determined to realize the desired mechanical properties, with the quality of the hot-rolled product taking precedence over energy consumption. To solve these problems, it is important to have a predictive technology to determine the amount of energy required in the future and its timing. Therefore, in this study, we compared the power demand prediction system with conventional statistical methods and developed a power demand prediction system that uses deep learning technology to predict the power demand of a hot rolling mill. In this paper, we will outline the development of a visualization and forecasting function for power consumption in hot rolling mills, and introduce our method of constructing a simulation technology to optimize power consumption.

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Publication Details

Journal
Journal of the Japan Society for Technology of Plasticity
Published
2025-01-01
DOI
https://doi.org/10.9773/sosei.250204
Primary Topic
Non-Destructive Testing Techniques
Type
article
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Development of Electricity Demand Forecasting Technology for Hot Rolling Lines Using Machine Learning

Mirei Kihara, Mitsuhiko Sano, Kazuhiro Ohara, Zhifang Lu et al.
Journal of the Japan Society for Technology of Plasticity
Non-Destructive Testing Techniques
article

Development of Electricity Demand Forecasting Technology for Hot Rolling Lines Using Machine Learning

Mirei Kihara, Mitsuhiko Sano, Kazuhiro Ohara, Zhifang Lu, Shinya Kawakami, Hideho GOUDO
article en

Abstract

Reducing energy consumption and emission is a key environmental issue. Although industry requires high-quality steel sheets for forming, the production of these sheets by the steel industry consumes enormous amounts of electric energy and emits significant amounts of CO2. In addition to reducing energy costs, there is a need to control CO2 emission, improve production efficiency, stabilize operations and solve several difficult problems simultaneously. Traditionally, the hot rolling process has been empirically determined to realize the desired mechanical properties, with the quality of the hot-rolled product taking precedence over energy consumption. To solve these problems, it is important to have a predictive technology to determine the amount of energy required in the future and its timing. Therefore, in this study, we compared the power demand prediction system with conventional statistical methods and developed a power demand prediction system that uses deep learning technology to predict the power demand of a hot rolling mill. In this paper, we will outline the development of a visualization and forecasting function for power consumption in hot rolling mills, and introduce our method of constructing a simulation technology to optimize power consumption.

Journal of the Japan Society for Technology of PlasticityVol. 66(777)
Toshiba Mitsubishi-Electric Industrial Systems Corporation (Japan) (JP)
Openalex Percentile: Top 68%
Non-Destructive Testing Techniques
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Development of Electricity Demand Forecasting Technology for Hot Rolling Lines Using Machine Learning — Mirei Kihara, Mitsuhiko Sano, et al. · Journal of the Japan Society for Technology of Plasticity (2025) | TGRS Research Map | TGRS