Implementation and Rollout of a Trusted AI-Based Approach to Identify Financial Risks in Transportation Infrastructure Construction Projects

Using big data for risk analysis of construction projects is a largely unexplored area. In this traditional industry, risk identification is often based either on so-called domain expert knowledge, in other words on experience, or on different statistical and quantitative analysis of individual past projects. The motivation of this research is based on the implemented and evaluated data-driven and AI-based DARIA approach to identify financial risks in the execution phase of transportation infrastructure construction projects that shows exceptional results at an early stage of the project execution phase and has already been deployed into enterprise-wide production within the STRABAG group. Due to DARIA’s productive use, concern and doubts about the trustworthiness of its ML algorithm are certainly possible, especially when DARIA identifies risky projects while all conventional metrics within the STRABAG controlling system do not identify any problems. “If AI systems do not prove to be worthy of trust, their widespread acceptance and adoption will be hindered, and the potentially vast societal and economic benefits will not be fully realized”. Thus, and based on the results of a user study during DARIA’s successful deployment into enterprise-wide production, this paper focuses on the identification of suitable indicators to measure the trustworthiness of the DARIA ML algorithm in the interaction between individuals and systems as well as on the modeling of the reproducibility of the internal state of DARIA’s ML model.