Burden of lower respiratory infections in five East Asian countries from 1990 to 2021: observation, comparison, and forecast from the global burden of disease study 2021
This study provides the first systematic comparison of long-term LRI trends across five East Asian countries. While the overall burden has declined, population aging, air pollution, and smoking are emerging challenges. By combining decomposition and ARIMA forecasting, our findings highlight the shift from children to older adults and offer timely evidence for age-sensitive, country-specific interventions such as vaccination for older adults, environmental regulation, and tobacco control.
Authors
- Shuai Lin (ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-4089-5721)
- Guodong Zhong (ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-0942-4497)
- Wenhua Wei (ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-5774-5941)
- Zhihong Qi (ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-8512-9377)
- Wen Wen
- Shiwei Wang (ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-7041-1591)
Institutions
- Fujian University of Traditional Chinese Medicine (CN)
- Fujian Medical University (CN)
- Xiamen University (CN)
- Guangdong Provincial Hospital of Traditional Chinese Medicine (CN)
- The 180th Hospital of PLA (CN)
- Zhongshan Hospital of Xiamen University (CN)
- Zhongshan Hospital (CN)
Publication Details
- Journal
- Frontiers in Public Health
- Published
- 2025-10-24
- DOI
- https://doi.org/10.3389/fpubh.2025.1679714
- Primary Topic
- Chronic Obstructive Pulmonary Disease (COPD) Research
- Type
- article
- Field-Weighted Citation Impact
- 0.00