Exploring rates and timing of new agricultural practices with the ADOPT tool

Abstract As interest in the impact of climate‐smart agricultural practices grows, it is increasingly important to understand how much practice adoption to expect, how long it will take for certain practices to be adopted, and where adoption of these practices may be most likely. Many current mitigation potential estimates for climate‐smart agricultural practices assume instantaneous, 100% adoption of practices across all croplands, failing to reflect realistic conditions. However, tools like the Adoption Diffusion Outcome Prediction Tool (ADOPT) can help explain and clarify practice adoption dynamics and therefore right‐size mitigation potential estimates. Here, we reviewed and compiled papers that reported ADOPT‐derived predicted peak adoption rates (PPAR) and predicted time to peak (PTTP) adoption for various agricultural innovation types. We summarize PPAR and PTTP across innovations and farmer motivations, providing insights on practice adoption and highlighting the utility of understanding predicted adoption rates and timing of agricultural innovations.