A Comprehensive Modelling Framework for Identifying Green Infrastructure Layout in Urban Flood Management of the Yellow River Basin

The Yellow River Basin faces severe challenges in water security and ecological protection: at the basin scale, complex hydrological processes and fragile ecosystems undermine the water security pattern; at the local scale, waterlogging risks have intensified in Zhengzhou—a core city in the lower reaches—impacting the city itself and also exerting negative effects on the basin’s water security. To address this, mapping the scientific layout of green infrastructure (GI) is urgent. However, existing studies on GI layout at the basin-urban scale have certain limitations: neglect of underlying surface spatial heterogeneity, insufficient integration of natural, hydrological and social factors’ synergies, and lack of research on large-scale basins and cities, especially ecologically sensitive areas with complex hydrological processes. To fill these gaps, this study proposes an integrated framework (SCS–GIS–MCDM) combining the SCS hydrological model, GIS spatial analysis, and multi-criteria decision making (MCDM). The SCS hydrological model is refined via localized parameter calibration for better accuracy; indicator weights are determined through the MCDM framework; and green infrastructure (GI) suitability maps are generated by integrating ArcGIS spatial analysis with fuzzy logic. Results show that (1) 6.8% of Zhengzhou is highly suitable for GI, mainly in riparian areas and the Yellow River alluvial plain; (2) sensitivity analysis confirms flooded areas and runoff corridors as key drivers; (3) spatial validation against government-issued ecological control zone plans demonstrates the model’s value in balancing flood safety and socio-economy. This framework provides a replicable application model for GI construction in cities along the Yellow River Basin, thereby supporting urban planners in making evidence-based decisions for sustainable blue–green space planning.