From static thresholds to dynamic trends: Reassessing serum calcium in anastomotic leakage prediction
Kang <i>et al</i> published a study recently in the <i>World Journal of Gastroenterology</i> introducing an interpretable machine learning model to predict anastomotic leakage after rectal cancer surgery, highlighting postoperative serum calcium as a key predictive feature. While this represents a significant advancement, we argue that reliance on a static calcium threshold may limit clinical applicability. We advocate for a dynamic, trajectory-based assessment of serum calcium levels across perioperative time points, using modeling approaches such as time-series regression or mixed-effects models. Furthermore, the model's robustness could be improved by incorporating systemic inflammation and nutritional indices such as C-reactive protein, procalcitonin, the neutrophil-to-lymphocyte ratio, and the systemic immune-inflammation index, supported by recent prospective studies. Finally, generalizability remains a concern, warranting broader validation and clearer clinical deployment strategies. By addressing these aspects, the model's clinical translation and decision-making impact could be substantially enhanced.
Authors
- Jianguo Zhu (ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-0778-7718)
- Guangyao Li (ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-4811-7959)
- Yutong Chen (ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-4234-8139)
Institutions
- Fujian Medical University (CN)
- Wuhu Fourth People Hospital (CN)
- Wuhu No 1 People's Hospital (CN)
- Fujian Provincial Hospital (CN)
Publication Details
- Journal
- World Journal of Gastrointestinal Surgery
- Published
- 2025-10-23
- DOI
- https://doi.org/10.4240/wjgs.v17.i10.110368
- Primary Topic
- Colorectal Cancer Surgical Treatments
- Type
- article
- Field-Weighted Citation Impact
- 0.00