From static thresholds to dynamic trends: Reassessing serum calcium in anastomotic leakage prediction

Kang <i>et al</i> published a study recently in the <i>World Journal of Gastroenterology</i> introducing an interpretable machine learning model to predict anastomotic leakage after rectal cancer surgery, highlighting postoperative serum calcium as a key predictive feature. While this represents a significant advancement, we argue that reliance on a static calcium threshold may limit clinical applicability. We advocate for a dynamic, trajectory-based assessment of serum calcium levels across perioperative time points, using modeling approaches such as time-series regression or mixed-effects models. Furthermore, the model's robustness could be improved by incorporating systemic inflammation and nutritional indices such as C-reactive protein, procalcitonin, the neutrophil-to-lymphocyte ratio, and the systemic immune-inflammation index, supported by recent prospective studies. Finally, generalizability remains a concern, warranting broader validation and clearer clinical deployment strategies. By addressing these aspects, the model's clinical translation and decision-making impact could be substantially enhanced.

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Publication Details

Journal
World Journal of Gastrointestinal Surgery
Published
2025-10-23
DOI
https://doi.org/10.4240/wjgs.v17.i10.110368
Primary Topic
Colorectal Cancer Surgical Treatments
Type
article
Field-Weighted Citation Impact
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article

From static thresholds to dynamic trends: Reassessing serum calcium in anastomotic leakage prediction

Jianguo Zhu, Guangyao Li, Yutong Chen
World Journal of Gastrointestinal Surgery
Colorectal Cancer Surgical Treatments
article

From static thresholds to dynamic trends: Reassessing serum calcium in anastomotic leakage prediction

Jianguo Zhu, Guangyao Li, Yutong Chen
article en

Abstract

Kang <i>et al</i> published a study recently in the <i>World Journal of Gastroenterology</i> introducing an interpretable machine learning model to predict anastomotic leakage after rectal cancer surgery, highlighting postoperative serum calcium as a key predictive feature. While this represents a significant advancement, we argue that reliance on a static calcium threshold may limit clinical applicability. We advocate for a dynamic, trajectory-based assessment of serum calcium levels across perioperative time points, using modeling approaches such as time-series regression or mixed-effects models. Furthermore, the model's robustness could be improved by incorporating systemic inflammation and nutritional indices such as C-reactive protein, procalcitonin, the neutrophil-to-lymphocyte ratio, and the systemic immune-inflammation index, supported by recent prospective studies. Finally, generalizability remains a concern, warranting broader validation and clearer clinical deployment strategies. By addressing these aspects, the model's clinical translation and decision-making impact could be substantially enhanced.

World Journal of Gastrointestinal SurgeryVol. 17(10)
Fujian Medical University (CN), Wuhu Fourth People Hospital (CN), Wuhu No 1 People's Hospital (CN), Fujian Provincial Hospital (CN)
Openalex Percentile: Top 59%
Colorectal Cancer Surgical Treatments
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