Interdecadal Variation in the Impact of Tropical Pacific Sea Surface Temperature on Compound High Temperature‐Drought Events and Related Wildfire Over Eurasia During Summer

Abstract The tropical Pacific sea surface temperature anomalies (SSTAs) act as a crucial regulator of global climate variability and serve as an important predictive source for extreme climate events. In this study, the impact and corresponding mechanisms of tropical Pacific SSTAs on compound extreme high temperature and drought events (CHTDE) and related wildfire are investigated based on the observed and reanalysis data sets. The results indicated that the relationship between the boreal summer tropical Pacific SSTAs and a Eurasian quadrupole atmospheric teleconnection has been enhanced since the mid‐1980s. After the mid‐1980s, the warm SSTAs in central‐eastern Pacific lead to the extremization of CHTDE and increasement of wildfire in Western Europe and Northern Central Asia, while cold SSTAs have similar effects in Eastern Europe and East Asia. This is primarily related to the westward shift of tropical Pacific SSTAs, which could trigger enhanced poleward and eastward propagation of Rossby waves and accelerate the circumpolar jet over the Kara Sea and the Laptev Sea and subtropical jet over southeastern Europe, leading to an intensification of the summer double jets event. The double jets could create favorable dynamic modulation of thermodynamic and water vapor transport in Eurasia. Therefore, this ocean‐atmosphere coupled mode results in a quadrupole pattern of disaster in Eurasia, which also has been verified by climate models. This study underscores the enhanced influence of the summer tropics on extreme events in Eurasia, offering valuable references for extreme events and wildfire early warning in Eurasia.

Authors

Institutions

Publication Details

Journal
Journal of Geophysical Research Atmospheres
Published
2025-10-22
DOI
https://doi.org/10.1029/2025jd044367
Primary Topic
Climate variability and models
Type
article
Field-Weighted Citation Impact
0.00
Controls
|||
ALL TIME
JAN
FEB
MAR
APR
MAY
JUN
JUL
AUG
SEP
OCT
article

Interdecadal Variation in the Impact of Tropical Pacific Sea Surface Temperature on Compound High Temperature‐Drought Events and Related Wildfire Over Eurasia During Summer

Wanling Li, Bo Sun, Huijun Wang
Journal of Geophysical Research Atmospheres
Climate variability and models
article

Interdecadal Variation in the Impact of Tropical Pacific Sea Surface Temperature on Compound High Temperature‐Drought Events and Related Wildfire Over Eurasia During Summer

Wanling Li, Bo Sun, Huijun Wang
article en

Abstract

Abstract The tropical Pacific sea surface temperature anomalies (SSTAs) act as a crucial regulator of global climate variability and serve as an important predictive source for extreme climate events. In this study, the impact and corresponding mechanisms of tropical Pacific SSTAs on compound extreme high temperature and drought events (CHTDE) and related wildfire are investigated based on the observed and reanalysis data sets. The results indicated that the relationship between the boreal summer tropical Pacific SSTAs and a Eurasian quadrupole atmospheric teleconnection has been enhanced since the mid‐1980s. After the mid‐1980s, the warm SSTAs in central‐eastern Pacific lead to the extremization of CHTDE and increasement of wildfire in Western Europe and Northern Central Asia, while cold SSTAs have similar effects in Eastern Europe and East Asia. This is primarily related to the westward shift of tropical Pacific SSTAs, which could trigger enhanced poleward and eastward propagation of Rossby waves and accelerate the circumpolar jet over the Kara Sea and the Laptev Sea and subtropical jet over southeastern Europe, leading to an intensification of the summer double jets event. The double jets could create favorable dynamic modulation of thermodynamic and water vapor transport in Eurasia. Therefore, this ocean‐atmosphere coupled mode results in a quadrupole pattern of disaster in Eurasia, which also has been verified by climate models. This study underscores the enhanced influence of the summer tropics on extreme events in Eurasia, offering valuable references for extreme events and wildfire early warning in Eurasia.

Journal of Geophysical Research AtmospheresVol. 130(20)
Nanjing University of Information Science and Technology (CN), Southern Marine Science and Engineering Guangdong Laboratory (Guangzhou) (CN), Southern Marine Science and Engineering Guangdong Laboratory (Zhuhai) (CN)
Openalex Percentile: Top 72%
Climate variability and models
AI Navigator

Ask Laika to Summarize, Analyze, and Connect papers live on the map.

Summarize Papers & Methodologies

Extract key findings, datasets, and comparative methods across publications.

Benchmark Rankings & Visual Analytics

Rank top research institutions, authors, funders, topics, and journals by Field-Weighted Citation Impact (FWCI) and paper volume with instant charts.

Connect Distant Disciplines

Bridge topological clusters on the map to find hidden collaborative intersections.