Predicting the Compressive Strength of Glass Fiber-Reinforced Polymer Confined-Concrete Elements Using Metaheuristics-Guided Machine Learning

Abstract Glass fiber-reinforced polymers (GFRP) are widely applied to enhance the strength of concrete columns due to their lightweight and high-strength characteristics. This study presents the development of a metaheuristics-guided machine learning (ML) model for predicting the compressive strength (CS) of GFRP-confined concrete columns (GFRP-CC). Traditional predictive models, primarily based on Linear or nonlinear regression, are often limited by narrow data scopes and methodological constraints. To address this gap, we propose an innovative ML model, leveraging an extensive database of 319 experimental results compiled from 41 peer-reviewed articles spanning 1991–2024. Using an artificial neural network (ANN) combined with five metaheuristic algorithms, the study aims to reduce the dependency on costly and time-intensive laboratory testing. The model development considered eight key parameters: diameter of the compression member ( D ), height of the compression member ( H ), compressive strength of unconfined concrete ( f′ co ), GFRP reinforcement ratio ( ρ f ), tensile modulus of elasticity of GFRP ( E f ), ultimate tensile strength of GFRP ( f f ), nominal thickness of GFRP reinforcement ( t f ), and number of GFRP layers. Among the tested models, the Stochastic Paint Optimizer (SPO)-ANN model demonstrated the highest accuracy, achieving a coefficient of determination of 0.9630 with minimal error values. To ensure transparency and interpretability, SHapley Additive exPlanations (SHAP), Olden methodologies, and Partial dependence were employed to elucidate the relative importance of contributing features. Critical factors influencing the CS of GFRP-CC included the thickness of GFRP reinforcement, tensile strength, and layer count. A user-friendly graphical interface was developed to facilitate practical adoption, enabling researchers and practitioners to model CFRP-CC compressive strength efficiently. This work represents a paradigm shift in concrete research, emphasizing sophisticated, data-driven methodologies that bridge the gap between experimental data and practical applications.