Human–Machine Collaboration for Strategy Foresight: The Case of Generative <scp>AI</scp>

ABSTRACT Generating strategic foresight for public organizations is a resource‐intensive and non‐trivial effort. Strategic foresight is especially important for governments, which are increasingly confronted by complex and unpredictable challenges and wicked problems. With advances in machine learning, information systems can be integrated more creatively into the strategic foresight process. We report on an innovative pilot project conducted by an Australian state government that leveraged generative artificial intelligence (AI), specifically large language models, for strategic foresight using a design science approach. The project demonstrated AI's potential to enhance scenario generation for strategic foresight, improve data processing efficiency, and support human decision‐making. However, the study also found that it is essential to balance AI automation with human expertise for validation and oversight. These findings highlight the importance of iterative design to develop robust AI tools for strategic foresight which, alongside stakeholder engagement and process transparency, build trust and ensure practical relevance.

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Publication Details

Journal
Public Administration Review
Published
2025-10-22
DOI
https://doi.org/10.1111/puar.70048
Citations
1
Primary Topic
Complex Systems and Decision Making
Type
article
Field-Weighted Citation Impact
2.11
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article

Human–Machine Collaboration for Strategy Foresight: The Case of Generative AI

Marc E. B. Picavet, Kevin C. Desouza, Alexander T. Sandhu, Peter Maroni
1 citations
Public Administration Review
Complex Systems and Decision Making
2.11
article

Human–Machine Collaboration for Strategy Foresight: The Case of Generative AI

Marc E. B. Picavet, Kevin C. Desouza, Alexander T. Sandhu, Peter Maroni
article en
1 citations

Abstract

ABSTRACT Generating strategic foresight for public organizations is a resource‐intensive and non‐trivial effort. Strategic foresight is especially important for governments, which are increasingly confronted by complex and unpredictable challenges and wicked problems. With advances in machine learning, information systems can be integrated more creatively into the strategic foresight process. We report on an innovative pilot project conducted by an Australian state government that leveraged generative artificial intelligence (AI), specifically large language models, for strategic foresight using a design science approach. The project demonstrated AI's potential to enhance scenario generation for strategic foresight, improve data processing efficiency, and support human decision‐making. However, the study also found that it is essential to balance AI automation with human expertise for validation and oversight. These findings highlight the importance of iterative design to develop robust AI tools for strategic foresight which, alongside stakeholder engagement and process transparency, build trust and ensure practical relevance.

Public Administration ReviewVol. 86(2)
Powerlink Queensland (Australia) (AU), Queensland University of Technology (AU), Queensland Government (AU)
Openalex Percentile: Top 10%
Complex Systems and Decision Making
2.11
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