Nonparametric Full Bayesian Significance Testing for Bayesian Histograms

In this article, we present an extension of the Full Bayesian Significance Test (FBST) for nonparametric settings, termed NP-FBST, which is constructed using the limit of finite dimension histograms. The test statistics for NP-FBST are based on a plug-in estimate of the cross-entropy between the null hypothesis and a histogram. This method shares similarities with Kullback–Leibler and entropy-based goodness-of-fit tests, but it can be applied to a broader range of hypotheses and is generally less computationally intensive. We demonstrate that when the number of histogram bins increases slowly with the sample size, the NP-FBST is consistent for Lipschitz continuous data-generating densities. Additionally, we propose an algorithm to optimize the NP-FBST. Through simulations, we compare the performance of the NP-FBST to traditional methods for testing uniformity. Our results indicate that the NP-FBST is competitive in terms of power, even surpassing the most powerful likelihood-ratio-based procedures for very small sample sizes.

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Published
2025-10-20
DOI
https://doi.org/10.3390/psf2025012011
Primary Topic
Statistical Methods and Inference
Type
article
Field-Weighted Citation Impact
0.00

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article

Nonparametric Full Bayesian Significance Testing for Bayesian Histograms

Julio Michael Stern, Fernando Morgan de Aguiar Corrêa, Rafael B. Stern
Statistical Methods and Inference
article

Nonparametric Full Bayesian Significance Testing for Bayesian Histograms

Julio Michael Stern, Fernando Morgan de Aguiar Corrêa, Rafael B. Stern
article en

Abstract

In this article, we present an extension of the Full Bayesian Significance Test (FBST) for nonparametric settings, termed NP-FBST, which is constructed using the limit of finite dimension histograms. The test statistics for NP-FBST are based on a plug-in estimate of the cross-entropy between the null hypothesis and a histogram. This method shares similarities with Kullback–Leibler and entropy-based goodness-of-fit tests, but it can be applied to a broader range of hypotheses and is generally less computationally intensive. We demonstrate that when the number of histogram bins increases slowly with the sample size, the NP-FBST is consistent for Lipschitz continuous data-generating densities. Additionally, we propose an algorithm to optimize the NP-FBST. Through simulations, we compare the performance of the NP-FBST to traditional methods for testing uniformity. Our results indicate that the NP-FBST is competitive in terms of power, even surpassing the most powerful likelihood-ratio-based procedures for very small sample sizes.

Instituto do Sono (BR)
Coordenação de Aperfeiçoamento de Pessoal de Nível Superior
Openalex Percentile: Top 72%
Statistical Methods and Inference
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